Showing posts with label Unified Communist Party of Nepal. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Unified Communist Party of Nepal. Show all posts

Saturday, June 07, 2014

Restructuring The Permanent State

Unison (Shin Terai album)
Unison (Shin Terai album) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Once you decide on how many states, their areas and their names, and once you decide on the size and shape of the parliament, and that of the office of the president and prime minister, attentions shifts to the states.

6 Geographic States With Geographic Names
205 + 100 MPs At Most

The six states should have one chamber parliaments that are at most 100 strong. So the two Terai states might have chambers that are 100 strong each, whereas the four hill states might have chambers that are 50 strong each. For a total of about 400 state level legislators. The majority in each elects its Chief Minister.

Then you shape up the district and local level governments.

The biggest part of state restructuring is what do you do with the bureaucrats. What do you do with the police? The army?

The civil war has been over for years now, but the Nepal Army has not been downsized. That is a problem. The Nepal Army needs to be downsized drastically to about 10,000 soldiers. Policing will be a state function. And obviously you can't have a Pahadi police force in the Terai. Some downsizing will have to happen in the police force as well. The armed police force was constituted in the face of the Maoist insurgency. But that insurgency is over. Some police personnel can be shifted to the states, but not all. Many will have to be guided into the private sector of the economy. This is part of the peace process still. Foreign aid can be sought for the same. People don't find their livelihoods gone. They just find they have new vocations now.

The same goes to ministries. Many will have to be downsized, a few will have to be eliminated.

State restructuring is not state restructuring unless you restructure the permanent government.
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Saturday, December 07, 2013

Federal Democratic Alliance: Too Little, Too Late

Madhesi Jana Adhikar Forum, Nepal
Madhesi Jana Adhikar Forum, Nepal (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
This Federal Democratic Alliance would have swept the country if it had been formed before the election in a way that there was only one FDA candidate in each of the 240 constituencies. Madhesi leaders in 30 political parties can not do the work of party unification but they want 13 million Madhesis to unite behind their cause? That is laughable. What was the expectation? That 13 million Madhesis will stand behind 30 Madhesi political parties all of whom were competing against each other?

March 2013: How The FDRA Could Bring In Baidya, Yadav, Rai
The FDRA's Options
The State Of Nepali Politics: A Diagram

There has been an obvious wrongdoing in the election mechanism. At least three million voters were kicked off the voter list. As for the elaborate sabotage that the Maoists are accusing of, I don't know. It feels as far fetched as the Nepali Congress claim in 2008 that the YCL basically handed over the election to the Maoists then.

I can see a little bit truth to both claims. But both claims in their extremes feel far-fetched. The YCL did some bulleying in 2008. Perhaps the army stuffed some boxes. But there was a major pro-Maoist wave in 2008. They were an untested bunch, and the people thought they might be radically different from the NC and the UML. But in power they did not act too different. And so that created an anti-incumbency wave.

The Madhesi parties went to the people wanting two states in the Terai. I see two states in the Terai being created by the new assembly.

The Maoists campaigned hard against the Madhesi parties in the Terai. The Madhesi parties campaigned hard against each other in the Terai. Ashok Rai went in solo. No wonder they all got poor results. The people wondered, if the Maoists and the Madhesis feel strongly about identity based federalism, why are they so against each other?

Madhesi Parties: 12 Lakh PR Votes

Now the best option is to go for six states - Eastern Terai, Western Terai, Koshi, Bagmati, Gandaki, Karnali - where half the MPs get elected from the Terai.

The Federalism Question: Maps

The attempt should be to form an all party government. The attempt should be that the Maoists get the Speaker position.

Then these parties should do internal homework.

Isn't this amazing? All these Madhesi parties will join the Maoist alliance, but they will still not talk about becoming one party? I find that mind boggling.

If they face the local and state elections in a fractured way like they faced the November election, they will fare just as bad.

UCPN (Maoist), other dissidents form new alliance
A group of 18 dissident political parties has formed a Federal Democratic Alliance (FDA) ..... UCPN (Maoist), Tarai-Madhes Democratic Party (TMDP), Madhesi People´s Rights Forum Nepal (MPRF-N), Federal Socialist Party Nepal (FSP-N), Sadbhavana Party, Tarai-Madhes Sadbhavana Party, MPRF-Republican, Tharuhat Tarai Party, Sanghiya Loktantrik Rastriya Manch, Rastriya Janamukti Party and Federal Sadbhavana Party ..... UCPN (Maoist) leaders have accused the Election Commission, the Nepal Army and "some other invisible forces" of perpetrating vote fraud under a plan to defeat Maoist candidates across the country. Maoist leaders said that the number of votes was manipulated while collecting the ballot boxes from the polling booths and bringing them to the vote counting centers.
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Tuesday, November 26, 2013

PR Votes

निर्वाचन आयोग
संविधान सभा सदस्य निर्वाचन, २०७०
समानुपातिक निर्वाचनको मत गणनाको प्रारम्भिक परिणाम
गणना भएको निर्वाचन क्षेत्र संख्या : १९७
Wednesday 27th of November 2013 07:54:04 AM
क्र.स.राजनैतिक दलप्राप्त मत
नेपाली काँग्रेस१७२३१५८
नेपाल कम्यूनिष्ट पार्टी (ए. मा. ले)१६४२७२३
एकीकृत नेपाल कम्युनिष्ट पार्टी (माओवादी)१००९३०६
राष्ट्रिय प्रजातन्त्र पार्टी नेपाल४४१६३१
मधेशी जनअधिकार फोरम, नेपाल(लोकतान्त्रिक)१९९७००
राष्ट्रिय प्रजातन्त्र पार्टी१८६९०५
मधेशी जनअधिकार फोरम, नेपाल१५३२०२
तराई–मधेश लोकतान्त्रिक पार्टी९४९६५
नेपाल कम्युनिष्ट पार्टी (मार्क्सवादी–लेनिनवादी)९१५७२
१०सङ्घीय समाजवादी पार्टी, नेपाल८९२४८
११सद्भावना पार्टी७४६२७
१२नेपाल कम्युनिष्ट पार्टी (संयुक्त)६५८३०
१३राष्ट्रिय जनमोर्चा५९५५०
१४नेपाल मजदुर किसान पार्टी५६७०९
१५थरुहट तराई पार्टी नेपाल४८५१३
१६राष्ट्रिय मधेश समाजवादी पार्टी४३३५०
१७राष्ट्रिय जनमुक्ति पार्टी४२१३८
१८नेपाल परिवार दल३७९७०
१९दलित जनजाति पार्टी३०४५०
२०अखण्ड नेपाल पार्टी२७३१३
२१मधेशी जनअधिकार फोरम (गणतान्त्रिक)२४२४९
२२नेपाली जनता दल२३३९६
२३तराई मधेश सदभावना पार्टी नेपाल२१८४१
२४खम्वुवान राष्ट्रिय मोर्चा, नेपाल२०८०९
२५जनजागरण पार्टी नेपाल२०२१९
२६संघीय सद्भावना पार्टी१८७७८
२७नेपाः राष्ट्रिय पार्टी१६१५४
२८समाजवादी जनता पार्टी१५०५१
२९संघीय लोकतान्त्रिक राष्ट्रिय मञ्च (थरुहट)१४१५३
३०नेपाल कम्युनिष्ट पार्टी१३३८६
३१संघीय गणतान्त्रिक समाजवादी पार्टी, नेपाल१२९३४
३२मधेश समता पार्टी नेपाल१२३०४
३३नेपाल जनता पार्टी१२०३५
३४खस समावेशी राष्ट्रिय पार्टी११८९९
३५नेपाल युवा किसान पार्टी१०६५२
३६नेपाल सद्भावना पार्टी९३४६
३७अखण्ड सुदूरपश्चिम पार्टी नेपाल८७४७
३८तराई मधेश पहाड हिमाल एकता पार्टी८६४६
३९राष्ट्रिय स्वाभिमान पार्टी नेपाल८५६७
४०मधेश तराई फोरम७८८५
४१लोक दल७२८८
४२जनता दल नेपाल६९४३
४३नेपाल लोकतान्त्रिक समाजवादी दल६७०९
४४शिवसेना नेपाल६५१९
४५मंगोल नेशनल अर्गनाइजेशन६२९६
४६जन प्रजातान्त्रिक पार्टी५९१०
४७नव नेपाल निर्माण पार्टी५७०५
४८नेपाल शान्ति क्षेत्र परिषद्५५२५
४९नेपाल कम्युनिष्ट पार्टी (मालेमा) साम्यवादी५३१३
५०जनता दल लोकतान्त्रिक पार्टी५२२३
५१संघीय लिम्बुवान राज्य परिषद५१२१
५२नेपाल गणतान्त्रिक एकता पार्टी४८६५
५३पिछडावर्ग निषाद दलित जनजाति पार्टी४८४३
५४चुरेभावर राष्ट्रिय एकता पार्टी नेपाल४५८०
५५शान्ति पार्टी नेपाल४४०२
५६राष्ट्रिय यथार्थवादी पार्टी नेपाल४०७१
५७जनता दल युनाइटेड४०५१
५८संयुक्त राष्ट्रवादी मोर्चा नेपाल३९३६
५९सहकारी पार्टी नेपाल३८४८
६०राष्ट्रिय मुक्ति आन्दोलन, नेपाल३७५९
६१नेपाल नागरिक पार्टी३५८६
६२राष्ट्रिय जनता दल नेपाल३५६७
६३विश्व सत्यवादी पार्टी३५६७
६४राष्ट्रिय मधेश बहुजन समाजवादी पार्टी३५६७
६५राष्ट्रिय शिवसेना पार्टी३५४६
६६नेपालआमा पार्टी३५०९
६७मधेशी जनअधिकार फोरम मधेश३४७९
६८बहुजन समाज पार्टी नेपाल३३३६
६९गरीब एकता समाज पार्टी, नेपाल३३१२
७०चुरेभावर लोकतान्त्रिक पार्टी३३००
७१राष्ट्रिय नागरिक पार्टी३२९३
७२राष्ट्रिय चुरेभावर पार्टी३२४१
७३नेपाल सद्भावना पार्टी (युनाइटेड)३०६३
७४हिन्दु प्रजातान्त्रिक पार्टी, नेपाल३०११
७५संघीय समावेशी समाजवादी पार्टी, नेपाल२९८०
७५संघीय समावेशी समाजवादी पार्टी, नेपाल२९८०
७६नयाँ नेपाल राष्ट्रिय पार्टी२७९०
७७नेपाल समावेशी पार्टी२७६१
७८चुरेभावर राष्ट्रिय पार्टी२७१७
७९देशभक्त समाज२७१३
८०देशभक्त पर्यावरणीय सामाजिक (देपसा) मोर्चा२६६५
८१नेपाल सद्भावना पार्टी (गजेन्द्रवादी)२५५८
८२लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी२५५७
८३नेपाल जनसमावेशी एकता पार्टी२५५२
८४लिम्बुवान मुक्ति मोर्चा२५२९
८५जनतान्त्रिक तराई मधेश मुक्ति टाइगर्स२४६८
८६नयाँ संघीयता जनधारणा पार्टी२४६६
८७नेपाल गौरवशाली पार्टी२४३८
८८नेपाल राष्ट्रिय विकास पार्टी२४२५
८९नेपाल कम्युनिष्ट पार्टी (माले–समाजवादी)२३८४
९०जनमोर्चा नेपाल२३१५
९१राष्ट्रिय एकता पार्टी२२५५
९२नेपाल राष्ट्रसेवा दल२२३७
९३युनाइटेड ग्रीन अर्गनाइजेशन२२२०
९४नेपाल लेबर पार्टी२२१०
९५राष्ट्रवादी एकता पार्टी२१८६
९६राष्ट्रवादी जनता पार्टी२१५९
९७लिम्बुवान मुक्ति मोर्चा नेपाल२१२७
९८जनता पार्टी नेपाल२१०९
९९जनयुनिटी को–अपरेटिभ पार्टी नेपाल२०४०
१००मातृभूमि नेपाल दल१८९०
१०१संघीय विकासवादी पार्टी नेपाल१७५५
१०२नेपाल जनभावना पार्टी१७३४
१०३नेपाल राष्ट्रिय यातायात विकास दल१६२०
१०४नेपाल न्यायिक दल१६१३
१०५नेपाल समाजवादी पार्टी (लोहियावादी)१५७१
१०६लोकतान्त्रिक पार्टी–नेपाल१५३१
१०७श्रमिक जनता पार्टी–नेपाल१५००
१०८नेपाल श्रमजिवी दल१४३८
१०९राष्ट्रिय जन विकास पार्टी१४१०
११०तामाङसालिङ राष्ट्रिय जनएकता पार्टी१४१०
१११हरियाली नेपाल पार्टी१४०१
११२संयुक्त जनमोर्चा१३५७
११३राष्ट्रिय मधेश एकता पार्टी, नेपाल१३४१
११४तराई पहाड हिमाल समाज पार्टी११८७
११५सोसल रिपब्लिकन पार्टी११८७
११६लोकतान्त्रिक जनता पार्टी नेपाल११३०
११७लिग नेपाल शान्ति एकता पार्टी१११४
११८नेपाल मधेशी जनता दल (समाजवादी)१०४९
११९युवा शक्ति नेपाल पार्टी९६७
१२०ॐ सेना नेपाल९४०
१२१राष्ट्रिय लोकतान्त्रिक युवा पार्टी८१३
१२२नेपाली जनता पार्टी६१५
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Sunday, November 24, 2013

Projected Seats

English: This picture used to represent the Ne...
English: This picture used to represent the Nepali Congress. This Picture based on Nepali Congress.png (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Nepali Congress 214
UML 205
Maoist 94
Kamal Thapa 33
RPP 16
Gachhedar 11
Others 7
Nominated 26

The arithmetic makes a NC-Maoist, and a UML-Maoist government possible, not to say a NC-UML government. And the identity federalists might have dipped below the one third mark. That might bring forth some interesting tug of war on the federalism question. The Panche parties have done so much better than the Madhesi parties. Go figure.

The Madhesi parties have but one option: become one party or perish.

Good Options For Maoists And Madhesi Parties
A Majority Government Of The NC And The UML
Election 2013: The People Have Spoken
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Saturday, February 02, 2013

The Former Chief Justice Would Be Least Controversial

The president should go ahead and appoint him. But polls can not be taken to November. They have to be conducted by June.

Ram Baran Yadav Should Go For It
Former Chief Justice Ram Prasad Shrestha
A Non Political PM?
A Non Political Cabinet Of Technocrats

Now or never: Dahal to opposition parties
Nepalis can now get foreign loans of up to $200,000
Read Shah Rukh Khan's article which appeared in Outlook Turning Points 2013
Bollywood's Shah Rukh Khan in spat over Muslim remarks

WorldLink introduces faster Internet

Dahal says his party ready for sacrifice
UCPN (Maoist) concludes district-level convention in 50 districts

Prez renews consultations with major parties
UDMF forms taskforce for people's mobilization
रामशरण महतसंग-23.01.13

Nepal risks being blacklisted: US envoy
UDMF no to alliance with UCPN (Maoist) for polls
Oppn parties unveil protest plans in valley

UCPN (Maoist) GC: Dahal's quest for regaining past strength
Watch your mouth, Koirala tells Dahal
NSU asks NC to hold GC in April
Jha assures resumption of closed factories
जसको नेतृत्व पनि स्वीकार्य: दाहाल
कांग्रेससहित ५३ दलले आयव्यय विवरण लुकाए
मैले प्रधानमन्त्री बन्छु भनेर ठट्टा गरेको : दाहाल

Businesses stunned as ruling party launches extortion drive
The business community has long demanded that donation campaigns launched by political parties be governed by law, with a cap on donation amount.
Clash looms as Maoists, oppn gear up for show of strength in Dailekh
NC won't bow to Maoist threats: Koirala

UDMF divided over continuing in govt

Dahal lays claim to PM post
Dahal hatching conspiracy to become PM
भट्टराईकै सामू दाहालले भने, 'प्रधानमन्त्री हुन तयार छु'

अध्यादेशको औचित्य छैन: संविधानविद्
दलहरुबीच सहमति भएर चुनावी सरकार बने धारा १५८ को बाधा अड्काउ फुकाउ प्रयोग गरि अड्किएका सवै विषयको गाँठो एकैपटक फुकाउने आफ्नो योजना रहेको राष्ट्रपतिले आफू निकटहरुसँग बताउने गरेका छन्। .... संविधानमा सन्तुष्ट भएमा राष्ट्रपतिले अध्यादेश जारी गर्न सक्ने उल्लेख छ।
Maoists ready for utmost flexibility over polls: Dahal
Bhattarai maintained that opposition parties were fearful of fresh elections and lambasted them for seeking power without winning elections. "There is no history in any country of an opposition party being handed the government leadership without holding elections," he added. He vowed to hold elections in May at any cost.
TRC to address cases related to insurgency: Minister Pun
an ordinance related to formation of TRC which is pending at the president’s office. .... around 32 countries have already formed TRC
DPM for law that bans protests at industries
increasing incidents of extortion in the pretext of raising funds for political parties have threatened the business community.
China becomes Nepal's fourth largest importer
more than 250 percent rise in exports to the northern neighbor..... massive commercialization of medicinal herbs farming in western parts of the country, sharp rise in demand for medicinal herbs, and hide and skins from mainland China .... China emerged as the fourth largest export market for Nepal after India, the USA and Bangladesh over first five months of 2012/13. ..... Yarshagumba is the major medicinal herb exported to China .... China´s liberal trade policy and positive impact of trade fairs between the two countries helped boost Nepal´s trade with the world´s second largest economy. .... Top five exports to China Medicinal herbs (+478%) Animal Hide and skin (+376%) Wheat flour by (+203%) Metal statutes by (+406%) Carpet by (+479%)
US interest in CPN-Maoist increases: Baidya
"It is possible to form separate joint fronts -- nationalist and federalist. But bringing them in one place will be a very big challenge"
Party ready for CA revival or fresh polls: Dahal
In a long and fiery speech against the opposition parties .... "Those against the decision to transform the country into a secular and federal system are trying to turn the clock back. So be prepared to fight such elements” ..... Dahal claimed that the CA was dissolved without producing the new constitution as NC and CPN-UML stood against identity-based federalism. ..... “They accepted federalism but not its essence.” ..... Dahal also accused NC and UML of betraying him and his party by not keeping their "promise to agree on the disputes in constitution writing within couple of days after the Maoists leaders would help integrate former Maoist combatants into the security agencies." ..... He claimed they [Maoists] took a bold decision to integrate the former combatants even as there was strong protest within his party. ..... "NC and UML leaders clearly said that there will be a bloodbath in the CA if the disputed issues are floated in the full House for voting," he said. He argued that the opposition parties stood against putting the issues to vote sensing that there was a two-thirds majority in favor of identity-based federalism.
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