Sunday, December 09, 2012

The Five Development Region Thinking

Krishna's Birthday
Krishna's Birthday (Photo credit: izahorsky)
The Nepali Congress, the UML, and the two monarchist parties - that is pretty much it. That is their alliance. And now they threaten to warm the streets. This is weird. Something like this happened in Bangladesh several years ago. The solution they went for was a non political PM. But the parties in Nepal are not opting for that. Sushil Koirala is against the non political PM idea.

I have seen maximum flexibility on Baburam's part. He is even willing to let go of his chair but he rightly insists a consensus candidate is agreed upon first. If you think political gridlock is a problem, imagine what a political vacuum would do. If you think not having an Election Commissioner is a problem, imagine what not having a PM would do.

The president can not unilaterally decide on a PM candidate. And the current PM can only be displaced by a consensus candidate. That too is a political decision. Legally, constitutionally speaking the current PM should be displaced by the next elected PM. Holding elections on November 22 was the right thing to do.

Instead the country is inching towards street confrontations between the Congree-UML-Monarchist cadres and Maoist-Madhesi cadres. That is unfortunate. The country is moving towards major political dysfunction.

The person responsible for this gridlock is Ram Baran, the president. The best option given the circumstances is for Ram Baran to pass the election related ordinances.

If you want to replace Baburam with your own candidate as PM, you go to the people and try your best to get a simple majority. You don't go into the streets.

The call for consensus is itself the problem. The bi-polarization of Nepali politics is a good thing. The debate on federalism is tricky, and it is for the Nepali people to decide at the ballot box as to which route they will go.

सरकारविरुद्ध आन्दोलन थाल्ने विपक्षीको चेतावनी
आइतबारै आफ्नो साझा रणनीतिबारे छलफल गर्न विपक्षी १५ दलको कार्यदलको वैठक बसेको थियो।
सरकारमा आउन विपक्षीलाई आग्रह गर्ने: गठबन्धन
"राष्ट्रपतिले दिएको समयसीमा भइन्जेल सहमति खोज्ने प्रयत्न गर्ने त्यस लगत्तै कांग्रेस एमाले लगायतलाई आह्वान गरेर यहि सरकारलाई राष्ट्रिय स्वरुप दिने प्रयत्न गर्नेछौं।" ... आएका विपक्षीलाई यहि मन्त्रिपरिषदमा आउन आग्रह गर्ने
राष्ट्रपतिद्वारा फेरि म्याद थप, दलहरुको विमति यथावत

Ten new cities to be developed in the country
Int'l Anti-corruption Day: CIAA crippled as per parties' interests, says PM
NA soldier held on murder charge
Kathmandu-Tarai Fast Track: Three Indian cos shortlisted
एमाले केन्द्रीय समिति आजबाट-सरकारको नेतृत्वबारे सोचिने
अब वार्ता होइन, आन्दोलनः विपक्षी कार्यदल
कार्यदलले मङ्सिर महिनाभित्रै प्रतिपक्षी दलमा सम्मिलित काँग्रेस, एमाले, राष्ट्रिय प्रजातन्त्र पार्टी, राष्ट्रिय जनशक्ति पार्टीलगायतको बैठक बसेर आन्दोलनको स्वरुप निर्धारण गर्नुपर्ने सुझावसमेत दिएको छ ।
कांग्रेस बैठकको निश्कर्ष-'प्रजातन्त्रसँग सत्ता साटिन्न'

Nepal's political deadlock will soon end: Prachanda
Dahal floats yet another proposal
Ruling alliance for cabinet expansion if no consensus by Wednesday

सी. के. लालसंग-05.12.12
UCPN (Maoist) now sets conditions, NC bitter


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Tuesday, December 04, 2012

Consensus Is Not Happening



The NC, Fair Polls And The Game Of Musical Chairs
Baburam's Options
Broadening The Ruling Alliance
Four Poles: One PM, Three DPMs

The Polarization Is A Good Thing
Mahantha Thakur For PM
A Non Political PM?
What Might The President Do?
The PM Resigning Would Be Weird
Good Move By Ram Baran
NC And UML At Fault
Ram Baran Yadav: Kasturi Mriga
The President, The Prime Minister
NC And UML Do Not Have Veto Power
Dahal's Capitulation Is Wrong

Baburam Bhattarai as the executive head of the country has to face the facts. Consensus is not happening. The sooner he realizes the better it is for the country. Now he has to forge a large coalition that includes the breakaway Maoists, Upendra Yadav's Front, Ashok Rai and the Congress breakaway Rai, and possibly other Left, Madhesi and Janajati parties to envision a seat sharing that covers about 85% of the country so as to win at least 70% of the seats in the next assembly so as to give Nepal genuine federalism. That is what this is all about.

You are looking at an arrangement whereby Baburam Bhattarai comes back as Prime Minister after the next election, Prachanda comes in as the directly elected President, Gachhedar perhaps is DPM again (or not), and Upendra Yadav, Ashok Rai, and Ram Bahadur Thapa Badal are all Chief Ministers of their respective states.

Right now the country is seeing massive polarization. And it is politically illiterate of Badal, Baidya, Yadav and Rai to not see that there are only two sides, and they need to pick one of them, and the choice is obvious.

The federalists need to act as one all the way to the elections to a new constituent assembly, and to a new constitution. After that if they so wish they might part ways. But even then I am not so sure. It might be best to stick together until every state has a state government, and local elections have already been held. After that I can see the coalition naturally breaking up.

Consensus failure a matter of shame: Prez
Baidya calls on President Yadav

तमलोपाको जिल्ला अधिवेशन सम्पन्न
अन्तरिम संविधानलाई क्रियाशील बनाएर नयां निर्वाचनमा जानुर्पछ : मन्त्री त्रिपाठी
स्वायत्त मधेस प्रदेश मधेशीहरुको साझा चाहना : भण्डारी
हाम्रो पार्टीले मधेशको बारेमा स्पष्ट धारणा ल्याउँदैछ : रिजवान अन्सारी, उपाध्यक्ष-संघीय समाजवादी पार्टी, नेपाल
मधेशमा एउटै राजनीतिक शक्ति हुनुपर्छ : जितेन्द्र सोनल, सह–महामन्त्री - तराई–मधेश लोकतान्त्रिक पार्टी

Big guns to reach President at 9 am :Sheetal Niwas
Gachhadar foresees consensus by Nov end
NC's crocodile tears
Terror in Tarai
Indian leader meeting top brass in Kathmandu
Politics for politics’ sake
UCPN (M) dangles NC mighty ministries
Prez prescribes package deal to unlock deadlock
FDRA wants govt transformed into unity one
Oli suggests majority govt may precede one of unity
Move court if Prez move is unconstitutional: Oli

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