The King Has Gone On The Offensive

Muncipal polls were to be in April. Now he says February. So the democrats have at best three months to get hundreds of thousands of people out into the streets, possibly less. If it is January already, and you still are only getting a thousand people here, a thousand people there, then you are going to come under some international pressure.

Tulsi Giri has said no to international observers, so this gang seems set on their program of what they might call guided democracy.

Municipal polls conducted by an illegitimate, unconstitutional regime, without international observers, with no political party participation, with the Maoists still lurking in the wings, possibly plotting to mess up the polls: it does not look all good.

My dear fellow democrats are refusing to do basic political homework. Girija is the number one villain. Either he should let go the ridiculous House revival idea, or he should go ahead and participate in the king's municipal polls. Those are the only two options he has.

Say if the king does not do what Girija wants him to do, and there is a violent overthrow of the monarchy, then do you think that revolution will revive the House? That is a laughable scenario.
I can not trust Girija unless he lets the House revival idea sink.

The biggest reason the common people are not coming out into the streets in large numbers is because of this idiotic House revival idea. The people are not for the king's autocracy, but they also do not like the idea of the 1990s democracy, sham, half-hearted democracy. The House revival idea is like going back to the 1990s. The people do not want to go back. They want to go forward.

You let go the House revival idea. That is step one. Unless that is done, nothing else is possible.

Girija is Tulsi Giri's best friend. Tulsi Giri could not stop a mass movement even if he wanted to. But Girija single handedly is in the way of a mass movement.

You get rid of the House revival idea. Then the seven of you sit down, and elect a formal leader for the movement. And you also come up with a political program.

The leader has to be formally elected by the seven members, preferably by consensus. That election has never taken place. You can not have a movement without a leader.

The Bahun democrats will not look at the 10-point program I have suggested because I talk of federalism there. And they also don't like the idea of putting their family property statements online.

Face it, there was some major corruption in the 1990s, maybe not as bad as the royal corruption, and the army corruption of today, but there was some major corruption. And the people do not want a repeat of that. And you are going to deliver, or you are going to disappear.

What do these democrats do all day? I wonder.

They will not take a look at my 10-point program. (Alliance Of Steel)

They will not take a look at my Proposed Constitution. You could look at my document and finish the job within weeks (Wish Me Luck) or you could drone through the process for six years like in South Africa. Save time, take a look at my proposal. The Bahuns will not because that might lead to federalism!

The king just went on the offensive. Now you are under some added time pressure.

He says February 8.

The challenge for us is can we make that the deadline for an end to this regime? Can we kick this regime out by February 8? That is the question facing us.

But so far the dishonest Bahuns show no signs of budging. They would rather go down than give in on issues of social justice.

There is a refusal to think through things. There is a refusal to think through the endgame. There is a refusal to think through scenarios.

Girija is in no hurry. He has declared this is to be the final struggle of his life. So if he is 83, and he is to live to be 93 or 103, are we in for a hundred years' war? Makes you think.

Finish it off. Give yourself three months, and finish this movement off. The real challenge should not have to be democracy, the real challenge has to be the economic growth challenge after democracy.

And Girija is in the way.

In The News

• Efforts are underway to restore peace in the country: HM NepalNews
• Dates for municipal elections announced
• NRN conference concludes, keeps mum on democracy and human rights
• Upadhaya warns not to abrogate the present constitution
• I/NGOs not to accept Code of Conduct
• NRNs: A progress report after two years
  

The Maoists Need To Come Clean Or They Go Down With The King

The Hardliner Democrat Approach
The Bombing Of A Bus

The Maoists are not capable of militarily taking over the country. They never will be. And even if they were, they will not be able to sustain a regime for long. Communist republic is too archaic an idea to stick.

The myth that the king and the Maoists are stronger than the democrats is fast running out of the news cycle.

I am seriously disturbed by the INSEC report (Homework For Another Round Of Civil War) that the Maoists have abducted over 8,000 students and teachers since they declared the ceasefire.

This royal regime is on its last legs. It has only a few months left.

Why would the Maoists declare a ceasefire and not mean it?

One, they honestly declared a ceasefire, but it was not reciprocated so they had to start preparing for another round of fights. That does not hold water. You declared a ceasefire to forge a strong alliance with the democrats to seek a common minimum program of a democratic republic. The king is not part of the equation.

Two, don't blame them. If the RNA is going to come after them, they need to prepare for another round of fights. That does not hold water. There will not be another round of fights. The democrats are on their way to kicking the king out.

Three, they mean to deceive the democrats. They want to use the democrats against the king, and then crush the democrats. That would be like digging their graves. The democrats are going to take over power. That power can not be displaced with a ragtag army of 10,000 armed cadres. 10,000 armed hooligans are not going to take over 27 million freedom loving Nepalis, are not going to rule over them.

The reason the Maoists need to honestly stick to the ceasefire is because now is the time for a decisive movement. This regime has only a few months left. And a ceasefire has to be a total ceasefire. No armed action, no abductions, no extortions. Anything less is not a ceasefire.

But if the Maoist talk of a constituent assembly and a democratic republic is a sham, the democrats will march on to victory on their own, and then push the Maoists into irrelevance by eating their political and social lunch, giving mass amnesty to most of the Maoist cadres, and conducting decisive surgical operations against the leadership with the sole intention of sending them to a country tribunal. Maoists hiding in India would be hounded with Indian help.

The Maoists do not have the option to play hide and seek. They can not talk democratic republic and mean communist republic. They fool noone.

So have they or have they not abducted over 8,000 people recently? That is not a RNA claim that they have.

Another round of civil war is not an option. If the Maoists engage in another round of civil war, they stand to permanently close doors on possibilities of any alliance with the democrats and any hopes of a soft landing.

The offer of a soft landing from the democrats has not been the voice of weakness and should not be understood as such.

Or if they mean to stick to a communist republic, they should say so. On the other hand, if they mean a democratic republic, they should stick to it.

And if they stick to the communist republic mantra, I challenge them to an open ideological debate on the topic. If you are Marxist scientists, you should open yourself up to analysis. Let's debate.

Another round of civil war will seriously hamper the movement. And the democrats do not have to take it lying down.

It is very possible for the democrats to get rid of the king, and then get rid of the Maoists. The two guns are vastly overestimating their reach.

Or the two came together, they go down together.

The Maoists are not indispensable to the success of the democracy movement.

The Maoists need to come clean.

Are they serious about their ideological transformation, or Baburam Bhattarai and Prachanda do not both talk for the same party, what is it? Are they serious about a constituent assembly? A democratic republic?

If they are serious, preparing for another round of civil war is the worst possible thing they could do at this jucture of the movement.

The democrats could steal the Maoist political and social thunder like the king never could. And beyond that they will be reduced to being a law and order problem.

They will burn out. Their organization would implode.

That or the Maoists could cooperate with the democrats and hope to become one of the larger parties in a democratic Nepal. If they launch another round of the civil war, they shut doors forever.

You don't punish the democrats for mistakes made by the king. If you do, the democrats do not have to take it lying down.