In Vance's America, the police can knock on any immigrant's door, deport him to a dictatorship without due process, and then wash their hands of his fate, pretending that America is powerless to free someone outside our border.
A smart foreign-born undergrad at a US university asked me if he should go to the UK to start his startup because of the random deportations here. I said that while the median startup wasn't taking things to this extreme yet, it would be an advantage in recruiting.
As the President @realDonaldTrump did with @Harvard today, threatening the use of the tax system against your adversaries is the stuff of Putin-like dictatorships. Shame.
Can India Become the World’s Factory and the World’s Market?
Opportunities, Obstacles, and Strategic Imperatives in the New Global Order
Introduction
As tensions escalate between the U.S. and China, global supply chains are undergoing seismic shifts. Multinationals are rethinking where they manufacture, governments are diversifying trade partnerships, and investors are searching for the next big growth market. In this geopolitical and economic shuffle, one question looms large:
Can India step in—not just as a factory for the world, but also as a massive consumer market in its own right?
With its population surpassing China’s, a rising digital economy, and a young workforce, India holds immense potential. But turning that potential into performance will require overcoming some deep-rooted challenges.
The Opportunity: A Perfect Storm for Indian Ascent
1. The U.S.–China Trade War Opens Doors
Tariffs and sanctions on Chinese goods have made global manufacturers wary of overdependence on China.
"China+1" strategies are now mainstream—companies are looking to diversify manufacturing bases.
The U.S. and its allies are increasingly supporting trade partners that align politically and ideologically.
India, with its democratic structure and strategic alliance with the U.S., is well-positioned to absorb some of the supply chain relocations.
2. Demographics and Domestic Demand
India has a median age of 28, compared to China’s 39.
A growing middle class is fueling domestic consumption, especially in digital services, fintech, FMCG, and mobility.
India is both a labor market and a consumer base, something very few countries can offer simultaneously.
What India Must Do to Become the World’s Factory
✅ 1. Upgrade Infrastructure
India’s logistics and infrastructure are improving, but still lag behind China’s:
Expand highways, ports, rail, and power reliability.
Build modern industrial zones with plug-and-play facilities.
Streamline customs and trade procedures to cut red tape.
✅ 2. Labor Reforms Without Social Backlash
To become globally competitive:
Simplify labor laws to reduce compliance burdens.
Encourage flexible hiring without compromising workers’ rights.
Invest in vocational training to build a skilled workforce for electronics, semiconductors, and advanced manufacturing.
✅ 3. Create a Stable, Pro-Business Policy Environment
Ensure policy consistency and reduce the risk of regulatory flip-flops.
Speed up land acquisition and reduce bureaucratic delays.
Offer targeted incentives like tax breaks and subsidies, especially in high-tech sectors.
✅ 4. Embrace Decentralized Manufacturing
Promote state-level competition—let states like Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, Maharashtra, and UP become regional hubs.
Encourage SME integration into global supply chains.
✅ 5. Double Down on Electronics and Green Tech
Scale up efforts like PLI (Production Linked Incentive) schemes for electronics, EVs, and solar panels.
Establish semiconductor fabs with global partnerships.
What India Must Do to Become the World’s Market
✅ 1. Empower Consumers Through Financial Inclusion
Expand access to credit, insurance, and digital wallets.
Promote platforms like UPI, Jan Dhan, and Aadhaar to bring rural and urban consumers online.
✅ 2. Strengthen the Digital Ecosystem
Encourage local startups and foreign firms to innovate for Indian consumers.
Improve internet access, data security, and regulatory clarity.
✅ 3. Build Confidence in the Rule of Law
Ensure judicial efficiency, protect IP rights, and reduce contract enforcement delays.
Global investors and local entrepreneurs need a predictable legal framework to invest confidently.
✅ 4. Grow the Services and Retail Economy
Support e-commerce, tourism, healthtech, and edtech.
Streamline GST compliance and empower small retailers to digitize.
How India Can Win the U.S.–China Trade War
Position Itself as a Strategic Ally
Deepen military and economic ties with the U.S. through platforms like QUAD and IPEF.
Align trade goals with U.S. interests in critical minerals, semiconductors, AI, and cybersecurity.
Negotiate Favorable Trade Agreements
Finalize Free Trade Agreements with the EU, UK, Canada, and others.
Push for market access in developed countries while protecting local industry.
Brand Itself Globally
Launch a new global PR campaign for “Make in India” and “Brand India.”
Build India’s image as not just an alternative to China, but as a unique democratic innovation hub.
The Challenges Ahead
Fragmented federalism can slow reforms at the state level.
Urban-rural divides threaten inclusive growth.
Environmental degradation and climate change pose real risks to industrial expansion.
Social and political unrest can deter long-term foreign investment.
None of these are trivial—but they are not insurmountable either.
Conclusion: Can India Do It? Yes, But…
India has the scale of China, the system of the U.S., and the demographic dividend the world craves. It can be the factoryand the market—but not by default. It will take strategic execution, bold reforms, and long-term planning.
If India plays its cards right, it could become the beating heart of 21st-century global capitalism—a place where the world comes to build and to sell. The opportunity is here. The world is watching.
