Showing posts with label Google. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Google. Show all posts

Sunday, July 20, 2014

The Pinterest Story

English: Red Pinterest logo
English: Red Pinterest logo (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Pinterest came out of nowhere to overtake Twitter at a record speed. It became the fastest growing website in history. And to think it was founded by a non techie, that it was rejected by pretty much every venture capitalist in Silicon Valley, that it had a slow start, that its earliest users were in Iowa (Iowa?), that it is what it is today.

Silbermann got a job in Washington DC as a consultant. He was basically putting together spreadsheets. His girlfriend tired of his talking about wanting to do a tech startup. Finally she said, either we move to Silicon Valley, and you do it, or you stop talking about it. I will support you, she said. So they moved. Not only she gave the big nudge, but also the big idea. The image centered website was her idea. The pinboard was her idea.

But it was no easy take off. Silbermann claimed he had the WiFi password to pretty much every cafe in the Valley. He had approached every known VC around there. It was tough. Today Pinterest feels so obvious. It has the feeling of having hit the bull’s eye.

Early on the company was using an apartment because it could not afford office space. At one point Silbermann tried to sell off the company at what would today be considered a weirdly low price. But he failed to sell.

After launch, he reached out to every friend he had in the Valley hoping they would become avid users, but noone seemed to “get it.” He had to make do with his early users in Iowa. For nine months the user base was really, really low. He personally wrote to his first 5,000 users.

But those using the site were really, really engaged. That deep engagement was a good sign. Also, although the user base early on was small, it seemed to double every month. That is why there was a spike after nine months.

After Pinterest had already established itself as a successful company, Silbermann said if he were to now apply to work at the company, he probably would not be hired. That was a modest thing to say. But maybe not. Maybe he had a point. Hire people smarter than you is a mantra many successful tech entrepreneurs seem to follow.

Pinterest by now is the stuff of legend. Its success is a reward to out of the box thinking. But you also have to note, Silbermann did not invent the pinboard. He simply took it to the web. All old industries similarly are waiting virtualization. Looked at that way, it feels like recycling, rather than a bolt of genius. But the success is there for all to see.

I am a Third World Guy. A million dollars is a lot of money to me, but a billion is more. Pinterest hit billions in valuation right before my eyes. For that matter, I met the two FourSquare founders before they had raised any money. FourSquare has also approached a billion dollars in valuation. It feels to me like it happened right before my eyes. I met another early stage team a few years ago that sold for $29 million last year. It feels like it happened fast.

The web is the wild, wild west today. Software will keep eating the world, to echo the Netscape founder. There are enormous inefficiencies everywhere you look around. There is so much work to do.

Pinterest also made a major blind spot spotting in that the site was an early success among women. There was something about the image focus, and pinboarding that a lot of women seemed to have found really appealing.

I have to admit, I have still not learned to use Pinterest. I mean, I have had an account for a while. But it is more like a flag holder. I have still not figured out how to make Pinterest part of my daily life, like Twitter is. I guess it takes some practice. Maybe there are blog posts out there I need to read on how to make the best use of Pinterest.

Some women have called Pinterest their Google. It is how they find stuff on the web. Pinterest has been sending more traffic to a ton of websites than Facebook. It is a search engine to a lot of people, apparently. That is as good as it gets on the web.

Did you google it? Did you pin it? Both those questions are grammatically correct.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Investment Opportunities

Borderless Investments
Borderless Investments (Photo credit: mars_discovery_district)
(published in Vishwa Sandesh)

Investment Opportunities
By Paramendra Bhagat (www.paramendra.com)

Your checking account gives you zero interest. The money is safe, but it is not growing. Your savings account famously gives you 1-2%. It is practically zero. Government issued bonds are safe but they also give returns in the 4% range only. That has been Madonna’s favorite thing to invest in. She did not need the money to grow, she knew she was going to make plenty of her own money; she just needed it to be safe.

If you invest in the American stock market in a sample basket of companies, say in a fund that is tied to the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ, in the short run you might lose or gain money. A few of your stocks might do spectacularly well, or might see a spectacular nosedive all the way to the company going down the tube and your losing all your money. But if you are not going to speculate daily, if you are not going to walk in and out every few years, if you are going to leave your investments for the long run of something like 10 or 20 years then you can expect an annual return of something like 10%. At that rate your money doubles every seven years. So 10,000 dollars will have become roughly 40,000 dollars in about two decades.

The mega recession of 2008 busted two major myths. The big one was that governments don’t go belly up, because people will always pay taxes. But country after country in Europe did go belly up. Another myth though a casualty of ups and downs in the housing market pretty regularly saw a major jolt was that real estate is a good investment because no matter what you will still have your house. Well, what if that house now has a value of half of what you paid for. Was that still a good investment?

The real estate sector in Nepal is a major hindrance to productive avenues of investment. People go abroad, do hard labor, they save, and they send money back to Nepal. Quite a lot of that money goes into real estate. People really like the idea of owning a house. It gives them a sense of belonging. There is this one small corner of the earth that they own. That brings solace. And since buying a house in Nepal is not like buying a house in America where you keep making rent like payments for 30 years, buying a house pretty much leaves you high and dry. Perhaps people feel once they have enough to eat, buying a house is next, and some day they might buy shares in companies. As the Nepali economy matures there will be more productive ways to invest than buying a piece of land and putting a house on top of it.

Things get wilder. A hydro project in Nepal might give an annual return of 30%. At that rate money doubles every two and a half years. So your 10,000 dollars will have become two and a half million in those same two decades. As in, a 30% growth rate is substantially more than the 10% growth rate.

I think it is a very good idea for Nepalis in New York City to invest in hydro projects in Nepal. You keep getting returns for 30 years at a handsome rate of 25-35%. I think that could mean a retirement scheme to many people.

My Nepal Hydro 20K Seed Fund
Virtual Mall

But not even 30% is wild enough. The first person who invested in Google put in 100,000 dollars. The two Google founders (they were PhD students at Stanford) were on to see a professor of theirs. A friend of the professor happened to be sitting there. He overheard the conversation. That sounds interesting, let me just write you a check, but I have to leave now, he said. That money became a billion and a half dollars in about eight years. At 10% money doubles in seven years. If the money went from being 100,000 dollars to 1,500,000,000 dollars in eight years, what kind of growth rate is that? You do the math. Looks to me like the money grew 15,000 times.

But then Google founders are rare people. It is hard for them to show up, and it is very hard to get to meet them at that early stage. And most people will not, do not recognize them at that early stage. I mean, Yahoo did not. Yahoo at the time was what Google is today. The Google guys wanted to sell their search engine to Yahoo and be done with it. Yahoo refused to buy. We already have a search engine of our own, they said.

If you have 100,000 dollars to invest, put 10% of that into a checking account, which is practically cash, and put 10% into something high risk and high reward like an early stage Google. Investing is a spectrum. You play partly safe, but partly you go wild with the money. But then some people go largely wild. When Larry Ellison, the founder of Oracle and my personal favorite character in tech, was worth 100 million dollars, he still borrowed money from the bank for his personal expenses, since he knew his ownership of Oracle would grow much, much faster than whatever the bank charged in interest, and he was so very right.

I think pretty much every Nepali in New York City has the option to invest at least a thousand dollars. You bring together 100 people and that is 100,000 dollars. That is not big money, but that is no chump change either. All should attempt financial literacy. Good investment ways come with some practice.


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