Monday, October 24, 2005

Dean 2008, China, Pakistan, Russia, North Korea, Cuba And Nepal


Bill Clinton Had Icecream For Lunch
Jesse Jackson On Martin Luther King Boulevard
Soaking In Howard Dean
Dean Was In Town Yesterday

The Saudi Royal Family Has Got To Go
I Am Running For Dean 2008 Campaign Chair
Takes Two Arms And Two Legs To Swim
2008: Some Themes
2008: Some Thoughts
Dean 2008
Dean-Hillary-Obama Ticket
Democracy For Nepal, DFN
The Three Pillars

Recently Pyar Jung Thapa was in China, and the Chinese met up with him, and promised him an increased military cooperation. If that means more Nepali and Chinese army generals pay each other visits, organize tea parties for each other, that is fine. But if China were to get involved in providing lethal military supplies to the Nepal army, that would be like taking sides in Nepal's internal matters.

So far China has stayed neutral. I would have preferred they were actively on the side of the democrats, but it is fine if they just stay neutral. It is fine if China stays focused on economic issues, on issues of trade.

But taking sides will not be okay.

China can not afford to turn Nepal into a fault line between itself and America. The king of Nepal is not worth the trouble. China can not afford to pick up fights with three major trading blocs: the US, Europe and India. For what?

China the country and the Chinese Communist Party are not one and the same. The Chinese economy and the Chinese Communist Party are not one and the same. It is only a matter of time before the political monopoly of the Chinese Communist Party is brought to an end.

There is not going to be a hot war. There is going to be a war with communications technology.

As for "Taiwan, Tibet and human rights," Taiwan and China might become one after China becomes a democracy. West Germany did not become communist. It was the other way round. There is going to be democracy in China, and China is going to become a federal state, and Tibet is going to be one of the states, and the Tibetans are going to enjoy religious freedom. Human rights are not western or Asian, they are human, and universally applicable. The Chinese people are as human as anyone else on the planet.

The Chinese immigrants in the US are going to take the lead.

There can be a soft landing. The Chinese Communist Party could opt to become one of many parties. They might even stick around as the largest party post-democracy. If they can ditch Maoism for a market economy, they can ditch totalitarianism for a multi-party framework.

But all that is for later.

For now China is going to make sure it does not take sides in Nepal's internal matters.

China is not a democracy.

Pakistan is no democracy. Musharraf is a joke.

North Korea is not on this planet. Kim Jong Il is a total basket case.

Russia is a half-hearted attempt at a democracy.

Cuba is not one. Fidel will flee.

The king of Nepal and his international friends just might ignite the third, final wave of democracy. They really might be up to something.

How do you identify the autocrats? They hang out together. They hobnob. They see common ground. They seek solace with each other.

Sunday, October 23, 2005

A Day In The Life Of Gagan Thapa


It was a full day spent with Gagan Thapa.

What is he like? The guy is flat out hilarious. Every other sentence he speaks he is cracking jokes. And they are not jokes from the jokebook. He is just talking, relaying stories from here and there. It is just that he gives this funny twist to events and circumstances. He is smart. He is very smart. He speaks easily. He is extremely social. He is very comfortable around people, all sorts of people. He is agile.

The lunch in Jackson Heights was to be at 11, and I showed up on time. I called Anil. He did not pick up the phone. I called Sanjaya. He said the place is not open yet. I later learned Anil had mistakenly put out the time to be 11 when it was to be more like 12.

So I got off the train. I walked around trying to find the place. A young, pretty woman approached me. She had a small handwritten card that said she had children, if I could please help. I waved no, I was on the phone. Then I got off the phone. She spoke. She spoke English.

"Where you from?" I asked.

"Bosnia."

She talked me into giving some money. I said I had no change. The smallest bill I had was a five. She talked me into going into a store to break the bill. I came out saying the line was too long.

"Give me the five bucks," she said. I was not expecting to hear that. That was blunt. She talked me out of five dollars.

"Do you have children?" she asked.

"No."

"Why don't you have children?" she said with a broad smile.

"I am an unlucky man."

Then another woman approached me. She also had a card in her hand. I swiftly walked away. I had not taken the train to Jackson Heights to file for bankruptcy.

The first person to show up was Deepak "Nepe" Thapa. He is the fiercest republican at Sajha. We talked for a little while, then we walked into the restaurant after it opened, and we talked some more. People started streaming in. A roundtable was full before Gagan showed up.

I was hungry. I had started eating even before Gagan showed up. I was told there was no protocol, and it was okay. People at the table must have felt sorry for me. I really was hungry. For dessert I had eight or so gulab jamuns. I think Gagan, who was sitting opposite me, noticed. Well, Gagan, chill. I don't remember the last time I had that many gulab jamuns at once. These ones were just so warm and nice.

Gagan talked expansively. He touched on many different topics. People around the table participated, but it was mostly Gagan talking.

He brought up the topic of internal reforms inside the parties. Madhav Nepal is no better than Girija Koirala when it comes to treating the student organizations with respect, Gagan emphasized. Party leaders interfere in the internal matters of the student organizations when there are no provisions to do so.

There was a broad discussion of money and politics, the lack of transparency inside the parties, the lack of legitimate financial opportunities for aspiring career politicians.

Pramod Aryal called in. He was asking for a transcript for Gagan's talk from the previous day. He is the ultimate Mr. Telephone man.

After lunch we went sight seeing. Sanjaya's car and Prateek's car were put to service. Gagan got to get off for the Statue of Liberty viewing, Ground Zero, Wall Street, the Seaport, and the park near the UN where the September 16 rally was held. It was during some of those walks that I really got to know Gagan. There were a bunch of fun conversations.

I tried taking several pictures of Gagan with the Statue in the background, but to our frustration the Statue would not grow in size as I pointed the camera at it. The Statue that Gagan got as a gift yesterday looked bigger to the one he got to see. There was no time to take the boat.

He is a people person. He has to meet you before he can feel comfortable emailing you back and forth. He is a face time person.

He relayed many stories. Stories from his current tour, stories from his street appearances, stories from the past few years. He is full of stories.

"This is not a movement for you and I to become martyrs," I emphasized at one point. "This is a movement to throw the autocrats out, and get the democrats into power. If anyone does end up a martyr in the worst case scenario, it will be King G, not some democrat. Caecescu style."

I really wanted to make this point. We need to be working for an orange revolution, a velvet revolution. There should be no bloodshed. Even for the king I wish a soft landing. The confrontation has to be political, not physical.

You get half a million people to come out in the streets and stay in the streets. No need to try to cross the police lines. No physical confrontations. I know that is hard to do if the police come attacking, as they often do. But the goal has to be to just get the large crowd out.

The goal has to be to turn Nepal into what Ukraine was during the winter of 2004.

Gagan has laid the case for a republican Nepal like noone else. 95% of the 30,000 and more college students in Nepal who voted on the issue voted for republicanism. Gagan speaks for them.

Deepak Thapa who I have nicknamed the Gagan of Sajhaland kept making the same case. The widely quoted Nielsen poll from late 2004 that claims more than 60% of the Nepalis are for a constitutional monarchy, and less than 10% for a republic is at fault, Thapa claimed. There was a small sample of only 3,000 people. And the question was misleading. The question was as to what kind of monarchy the people preferred, and more than 60% said constitutional monarchy, a little over 20% said executive monarchy. The question if the people want a repubic or not was never asked in that poll. And 2/1 has had a major impact on public opinion. That same poll does not say the same thing for the college student age group that the referendum does.

Deepakji has a point. Recently all district chiefs of the Anandi Devi Sadbhavana also pushed for a republic. Looks like cadres in all parties are for a republic. Only the leaders are not coming forth openly. Is it some sort of a fear factor?

Just like "multi-party" was the phrase that ignited the 1990 movement, now "democratic republic" might be such a phrase. If the seven parties and the Maoists can come around to that two word agenda, people will fill up the streets. The civil society movement has been getting a much better response than the parties, and it is because the civil society has a stated goal of a democratic republic.

The king has been unrelenting in his excesses. He is leading the country to a decisive bipolarization. The country might be going through the birth pangs of a democratic republic.

Gagan's approach is not to do with polls. He makes a clear case for a republic, and then asks for the political consciouness in the country to be raised, because that is the right thing to shoot for.

"We sharpen the agenda and the program of the seven parties," he said. He is not trying to start his own party. He is not trying to leave the Nepali Congress. His goal is to stay engaged and work for internal reforms inside the Nepali Congress. I commend that pragmatism.

Gagan thinks the movement will really take off after Tihar.

Back at Sanjaya's place I initiated a discussion on the endgame scenarios for the movement. What do we want? What options do we have? I got the impression the endgame will take care of itself. The work at hand right now is to get the seven parties to come around to the slogan of a democratic republic. Because that is the right thing to do, that is what the people want, that is what is good for the people.

Gagan relayed the story of the first corner meeting after 2/1. It was an act of superb organization.

Then there was the ride to the airport. We just assumed it was JFK. It ended up it was the Newark airport. We were already near JFK by then. Good thing Anil was driving. He knows the city like the back of his hand. We barely made it on time. And for most of the ride Gagan was busy on the phone. There were all these goodbyes that needed saying. It was Kiran Sitoula's phone, Gagan told me. Sitoula the nuts and bolts man.

Gagan was off to London for a week. Then it was off to Nepal.

"Be safe," I said and huggged him goodbye.

145 Photos.

Saturday, October 22, 2005

The Man, The Myth, The Legend: Gagan Thapa



Finally I get to meet Gagan Thapa in person.

I am hoping to get there at least half an hour early, but the weekend construction work on the train tracks makes you take unexpected detours, and I am seven minutes late to the assigned time. One person shows up after the program is all over and Gagan is out in the street. He never learned of the time change from 5 PM to 2 PM. At least that is not my story.

I get off the train at 125th Street. Then I run after figuring out which direction to run. The main door is closed. Just when I am trying to figure out how to open it, it opens. Khul ja simsim. Mridula Koirala and others are down at the entrance.

I hurry up to the third floor. Bump into Anil and Sanjaya. I head straight to where Gagan is sitting and introduce myself. We know each other by name and have seen each other's photos. But this was the first time meeting in person.

He is sitting next to someone who went to the high school I did, about seven years ahead of me in the row of batches. "I know you."

I tell Gagan and him I met Bill Clinton a few days back and got to shake his hand. I did not wash my hand for the rest of the day. Today I was getting to shake Gagan's hand. The hand is going to go unwashed for the rest of the day. Gagan is mildly chuckling. (Bill Clinton Had Icecream For Lunch)

More people arrive. The program starts fashionably late. Anil announces we have to leave the hall by 4 PM. Anil pulls me aside. "I wanted to ask you something even if belatedly, after the fact."

I have a transcript in English of Gagan's talk in Boston posted at my blog. Anil tells me Nepe has posted it at Sajha, and Anil has printed it for the Americans among the audience. (Gagan Thapa Talk In Boston: Two Hours Audio)

"You don't need my permission for such a thing," I say.

I mean, we are supposed to be in the middle of a revolution. This is not the time for niceties. Gagan refers to the same transcript before he speaks. He says he is going to stay within the outlines of the transcript. But he ends up elaborating much more. And I am glad he does.

Two people are recording the talk on video, artist Asmina Ranjit and the Samudaya person, so I figure I will just post links to those later on after those clips go online. I might even prepare another transcript later on.

For now I want to emphasize the key points.

12 years of democracy were not perfect, they were not even democracy in the strictest sense of the word, but don't lump the democratic parties with the true villains, he says. Nepal is two years older than America, but look at America today. It was lack of democracy that kept Nepal behind. Blame the monarchy, not the parties.

What you do here, the support you extend here really helps at the other end, he says. Keep doing what you have been doing. People in Kathmandu think your September 16 protest rally is the reason the king cancelled his UN visit. (September 16 Protest Rally, King Cancels UN Visit)

And he gives a terrific analysis of why the monarchy should go, no ifs, no buts. I am impressed as much with the conclusion as I am with the window into his thought processes he exhibits. Gagan Thapa is a sharp mind. He is a gutsy street fighter, but he is also someone who reads and thinks a whole lot. He is humble, he wants to learn. He is articulate. He has a great grasp of both Nepali and English. But I am glad he makes most of his presentation in Nepali.

His talk is preceded by the Aandolan Jari Chha DVD. It is heartwrenching to see the police mercilessly beat up demonstrators. Seeing it in photos is one thing, but seeing it in video is a whole different story. And the atrocities we see on the screen are only the tip of the iceberg. Brave photography nevertheless. This video needs to be uploaded on Google Video. The world needs to see. My high school roommate Dinesh Prasain has done the voiceover. (Dinesh Prasain Tour: Report, The Dinesh Prasain US Speaking Tour)

I have the honor of asking the first question.

"Before I ask the question, let me point out," I say, and relay the Bill Clinton story to the audience. Then I add, "I know you have already partially answered this question. But after Tihar looks like the movement might really take off. What support, moral and logistical, can the Nepali diaspora provide?"

He says financial support is not needed. But moral support is needed more. There are many Nepali groups all over America. But there is no one umbrella group that does rapid response. The Kantipur FM got assaulted, but I have yet to see a press statement from this end condemning it.

His comment is to the point. We at this end criticize the political parties, but the organizations at this end do not perform that much better. Fair enough.

I get myself some homework from Gagan. I hope to make a whole bunch of phone calls.

There are several other questions. Then a whole bunch of people come to shake Gagan's hand. Many want pictures taken with him. Some with my camera.

Around that time I also get criticized by several people in person for a piece I wrote after meeting Sharad Chandra Shaha. (Sharad Chandra Shaha Is A Dazzling Person)

I do not apologize but I do quite some explaining. I made no ideological sacrifices. Infact, I was very open in my criticism of Shaha and others in the king's inner circles. (Gang Of Four) I have criticized Tulsi Giri more severely than anyone else I know. (Response To The Panchayati Ghost Tulsi Giri)

But I was in a peace talks mood. Sharad Chandra Shaha, Bharat Mohan Adhikari, Tara Nath Ranabhat, and Lokendra Bahadur Chand were all staying at the same hotel for a few days. I had a chance to meet them individually and see if I could get all of them together and talk things up. I failed, that's another story. But if I am going to talk to Shaha, I need to respect him as a person. How else can I hope to do business with him?

I still believe the seven party alliance and the king should agree on an all party government that will take the country through a constituent assembly. I prefer that option to a revolution. When you go for a revolution, several intangibles come into play. The goal is a constituent assembly, and the least disruptive path to that assembly is the best option.

I believed that then, I believe that now.

Sadly I don't see either the king or the parties coming around to it. And so I am going to do my very best to support the movement.

No, meeting Sharad Chandra Shaha was not a mistake. It was an effort at peace making. I wish more people in each of the three camps did what I did. I am willing to lose some popularity for peace. Many Nepalis are losing much much more than that.

I also see representatives of Tamang and Sherpa and Gurung groups come to meet Gagan. These Janajatis are one step ahead of the Madhesis in terms of their political consciousness. They have vibrant organizations. They make sure the Bahuns and Chhetris know this is America, not Nepal. There is almost this hierarchy, Bahun-Chhetri, Newar, the different Janajati groups, and Madhesi. Dalits are pretty much non-existent. The mini-Nepals in America reflect the power structure in Nepal even in purely social circles.

As a Madhesi I have thought some into this. First of all, neither my personal nor my professional lives depend on any Pahadi. So I only interact in a zone of mutual respect if it be forthcoming. As for the collaboration on the movement in Nepal, as long as federalism is on the agenda, as it is, the collaboration does not have to be lovey-dobey, it only has to be an attempt at effectiveness. Organizations like the Alliance and the Youth Council are into event logistics for Nepali guests passing through town. They do a great job, and the logistics are not my forte. I contribute primarily through my blog and I telecommute directly into the circle of the top leaders of the seven party coalition. I help with the analysis, the strategies. And I think it helps the movement when I go shake Bill Clinton's hand, Jesse Jackson's hand, Howard Dean's hand, and so on. I also pick up the phone when and where it can help.

I think the Madhesis do need to work on the ANTA idea all over America. The pride has to be cultivated. And then there has to be an emphasis on creating zones of mutual respect with the other groups, and especially with the Bahuns and Chhetris and other Pahadis with hangovers from Nepal.

I think for many Madhesis to rally behind the ANTA is tantamount to coming out of the closet. It is only happening so far in trickles. Members of an oppressed group have spent too much time running away from their collective identities. It takes some time to undo that disintegration.

Gagan is booked for most of the rest of his stay in the city. I want to spend some time with him but he does not really have a slot. But there is an open lunch with him in Jackson Heights tomorrow at 11. I don't feel bad about not having more time with him, but I do feel bad he is not getting to do much sight seeing in the city. Too many people want one-on-ones with the superstar. Meeting in large groups, or going sight-seeing in a group they might feel diluted. There is a rush to get on a first name basis with Gagan. It is almost ineffective to the cause. But how often does someone like Gagan come to the city? The 1990 movement produced Madan Bhandari. This movement is to produce Gagan.

See you tomorrow at lunch, Gagan. After that he spends time with Kosmos Bishwakarma. At lunch I am going to throw in the idea of taking Gagan on a tour of the city. He needs to see at least the top four or five places. People can hold the conversations during the tour.

And then after the event Sanjaya Parajuli, Mridula Koirala and I ride in Sanjaya's car over to Mridula's restaurant. I have known her name and face since I got into the city. But today I got to know her as a person. She is like the Mayor of the Nepalis in the city, the unofficial ambassador.

She was reading news for Nepal Television during the last years of the Panchayat. Once she referred to the king as the Vice Chancellor of Tribhuvan University instead of the Chancellor, and she got sent from the news reading section to the production section. She is good friends with star TV journalist Bijay Kumar. And looks like she just knows a whole lot of people. BP Koirala's daughter in DC, not to say Girija Koirala. She knows Keanu Reeves, the actor. Senator Charles Schumer has dropped by her restaurant.

Minendra Rijal of the Deuba Congress once told her when the Foreign Ministry in Kathmandu issues people like him passports, they also give them a key to her apartment. A lot of dignitaries pass through I guess.

Mridula has been running her Upper West Side restaurant for almost 15 years. She is a successful entrepreneur. I don't know many Nepalis who even attempt to be, let alone succeed.

"I am a feminist," she says. Not many white women say that, let alone South Asian women.

Mridula presented a replica of the Statue to Gagan on behalf of the Alliance. She was the second best speaker of the day after Gagan.

She was off to a dinner with Pradip Giri's ex-wife who now works for a UN organ. I overheard them on the phone. The query was if Gagan was coming along! Answer: No, Gagan is not with Mridula and me.

Gagan is hot property. Everyone is wanting to spend some time with him.

The following Saturday I get to meet 15 leaders from the seven parties who will also be passing through town. I intend to make a second attempt at this: Wish Me Luck.

78 Photos.