Sunday, October 29, 2006

Dinesh Tripathi In Austin



WILL OF NEPALI PEOPLE SHALL PREVAIL
Oct 23, 2006, USA, ( Austin)


The National Annual Convention of National Lawyers Guild, USA convened in Austin, Texas, dated Oct 18- 22. Advocate Dinesh Tripathi of the Supreme Court of Nepal spoke as an international Guest in the Convention. He stated that human rights and democracy are universally accepted values, not just the prerogative of the rich, industrialized world. The era of cultural relativism has passed. Every member of the human family has equal rights and freedom, irrespective of national identify, race, color or geographical boundary. For that reason, the struggle for human rights and democracy must be intensified at the international level. The struggle for human dignity, freedom and democracy should not be confined within national boundaries. Strong solidarity must be built among all the human rights and democratic groups around the world. The forces of militarization, concentration of economic power in the hands of a few countries, and a growing inequality among nations at the global level present the biggest threats to the democratic aspirations of people around the world. The universal protection of human rights and the rule of law can be the only basis for lasting peace in the world. Lawyers all over the world have to work for the expansion of democratic ideals, human rights and rule of law. Nepali people are struggling hard to build genuine democratic institutions, the rule of law and a people-centered polity in the country. Nepal’s April movement is one of the remarkable events in contemporary world history. Nepali peoples are aspiring to build a people’s republic in Nepal. They are aspiring to build a full- fledged democracy, an accountable democratic institution, society based on equality, strong human rights, and equal protection of the law. It is a proven fact of Nepali history that monarchy and democracy cannot co-exist in Nepal. Monarchy has always been inimical toward people’s rights and sovereignty. This is the defining moment in the Nepali history, so we have to do away with the monarchy. The democratic world should respect the genuine aspirations of the people of Nepal, and should not play the game of retaining the monarchy against the will of the people. The will of the Nepalese people must prevail above all things. The U.S. legal community should be aware of U.S. foreign policy in Nepal. The fate of the Nepali peoples must be decided by the Nepalese themselves, not by the politicians in Washington, D.C., London, Delhi, Beijing or somewhere else. Establishing a people’s republic in Nepal is the only meeting point in the Nepali politics. Big power must not play any games against the will and aspirations of the Nepalese population. We the Nepalese people must be allowed to write our own constitution. It is the only valid means of transferring sovereignty to the people. Democracy means supremacy of the people, and it is more than the right to vote. In Nepal we are aspiring to build genuine people-centered, participatory, and inclusive democracy, not just a procedural democracy. Mere civil and political rights are not enough; we have to ensure the economic, social, and cultural rights of the people. We have to address the problem of the vast socio-economic inequality among people. We need a total restructuring of the Nepali polity, society, and government. Mere cosmetic changes are not enough. The international civil society and the legal community should come forward to express their support and solidarity to the Nepali people. There is a strong need to end the culture of impunity that is deeply rooted in Nepal. Perpetrators of human rights violations must be brought to justice. People who commit crimes against humanity and war crimes must be brought to justice, whoever they are. There must be zero tolerance for culture of impunity, which creates a vicious cycle of human rights violation. .

Finally, an international tribunal must be set up to conduct trials in Nepal, since Nepal’s judicial institutions have failed to address the culture of impunity.
International guest from Japan, UK, Canada, Belgium, Venezuela etc. were also invited in the convention. National Lawyers guild is the umbrella organization of US lawyers, Law academics and judges.



Dear Sir,


I highly appreciate your cooperation extended by you before. I think democracy building is the collective task. We need to mobilize our collective strength. Recently I have been invited by American lawyers organization to speak on the occasion of their national convention which took place in the Austin, Texas. I am sending a small news report on it I hope it would be interesting and useful for your readers. Please consider to make it public. I hope it will get coverage in your media. Please feel free to contact me. I am sending you both English and Nepali text. You can use according to your need. I am also sending you a photograph of the program. Looking
forward for your cooperation.

Thank you.

Respectfully

Advocate Dinesh Tripathi

Supreme Court of Nepal

Now USA
Phone 443 854 3910

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Bhutanese refugees appeal to Nepal to implement US proposal to ... People's Daily Online, China
Refugees appeal for materialising US offer Gorkhapatra
Chhath may inspire all to work for democracy: Nepal Gorkhapatra, Nepal

Interview with Tek Nath Rizal Kantipur While a majority of refugees have hailed the proposal, the proposal itself has caused a major rift to develop between the refugee leaders. ..... In the last 16 years what the United States has done for us Bhutanese refugees is undoubtedly commendable. ...... I told you that I appreciate the US proposal wholeheartedly on humanitarian grounds only... ..... the international community, including the United States, should have put more pressure to repatriate the Bhutanese to their homeland. Such options do nothing but create a rift among the refugees and allow unwanted players to create chaos. ...... since the proposal, some problems have been raised by the refugees. ...... We need our property back that has been seized by the Bhutanese king. We have our relatives there and we want to live the rest of our lives with them in our homeland. The third country resettlement is not going to provide us that. ....... I don't mind dubbing these talks as dramas organised just to dodge us. I have time and again emphasised on the representation of Bhutanese refugees in the talks. .....We have been thrown out of our country just because we speak Nepali. I have been standing against the Bhutanese king's oligarchy and to instate democracy in Bhutan. And instead of the international community playing a major role to put pressure on the Bhutanese king to restore democracy in Bhutan, they are simply trying to blow a different tune. Therefore, no matter how many rounds of talks between the government of Nepal and Bhutan are held, it's useless....... I believe there must be something behind the curtains which restrains the Nepal government and leaders here from talking to India and putting forward a clear view. ..... I don't blame the Indian government per se. But I do believe certain segments in India are playing dirty politics. ...... Maybe some from the bureaucracy… I cannot object to the US proposal. The resettlement proposal has disillusioned some of the refugees. What is the future of the rest of the refugees? ...... The US proposal has brought about confusion in the refugee camps. ...... The international community including the United States has the ability to create an atmosphere so that the refugees and the Bhutanese king can hold talks. But this is not happening. .... The democracy that is in the offing, as has been purported, will be more degraded. Had the Bhutanese king been a pro-democratic individual, he would not have let all this happen. ........ The UNHCR has selected some people with the purpose to ease the distribution process in the refugee camps. Those people were meant to take care of the distribution process. But in recent days I have seen these people getting involved in politics and blaming me – who has incessantly endeavoured to help make their lives better with dignified repatriation – of playing a negative role. Does this sound fair? Even I was threatened by some. There was not other option in the end but to move ahead by dismissing them. When I visited the camps recently I seized some documents as well which were prepared with the aim of getting those positions filled by those who were willing to resettle.......... There are thousands of Bhutanese refugees – an estimate says around 30,000 – in North Bengal (India). ...... The crisis has stretched on for too long. I do have one proposal -- dual citizenship should be offered to the refugees.
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‘Republic impossible if NC fails to lead it’
Kantipur FM enters ninth year, targets major expansion With over six million listeners across the country, Kantipur FM radio station was the first FM station to be aired 24 hours a day. .... Playing all sorts of music in Nepali, English, Hindi and even in regional languages such as Newari, Maithili, Bhojpuri and Tharu ...... Kavrepalanchok, Sindhupalchok, Nuwakot, Dhading, Dolakha, Ramechhap, Makwanpur, Bara, Gorkha, Syangja, Palpa, Dhanusha, Mahottari, Siraha, Saptari, Sunsari, Morang, Jhapa, Ilam ..... leading folk and pop singers like Ramkrishna Dhakal, Sugam Pokhrel, Bhagwan Bhandari, Priti Kaur, Mongolian Hearts, Robin 'n The New Revolution ...... the government has granted Kantipur FM the permission to install five new relay stations at Birgunj, Chitwan, Pokhara, Butwal and Nepalgunj. ...... We expect the number of our listeners to reach the 10 million mark ...... Best Vocal in Modern Song: Ram Krishna Dhakal (Male), Kunti Moktan (Female) ..... Best Band: 1974 AD
Talks are based on give-and-take principle: PM Koirala
वीरेन्द्रको सम्पत्ति 'ट्रस्ट बन्ने'
ँअबको वार्ता राजा र हतियारबारे’
क्रान्तिकारी’ नेताको समृद्ध राष्ट्र यात्रा केहीअघिसम्म उनको टाउकाको मोल तीस लाख तोकिएको थियो । उनको नाम अन्तर्राष्ट्रिय आतंकवादी र रेडकर्नर नोटिसको सूचीमा थियो । तर गत सोमबार उनी लन्डनको ह्वाइट सिटीस्थित बीबीसी वल्र्डको स्टुडियोमा बसेर 'हार्ड टक' कार्यक्रमका लागि अन्तर्वार्ता रेकर्ड गराइरहेका थिए ..... यो लोकपि्रय कार्यक्रमका उनी पहिलो नेपाली अतिथि पनि थिए ....... लन्डन टेकेको दिन उनी बिहान चार बजेसम्म स्थानीय सञ्चारकर्मी र आयोजकहरूबाट घेरिएका थिए । भोलिपल्ट उनले लन्डनबाट प्रसारित नेपाली टेलिभिजन र बीबीसी नेपाली सेवालाई अन्तर्वार्ता दिए । सँगसँगै उनी नटिङहल गेटस्थित नेपाली राजदूतावास भवन पनि पुगे ...... एमाले नेता प्रदीप नेपालको प्रश्नमा उनले आधा ठट्यौली र आधा वास्तविकता मिसिएको छापामार भाषाको उत्तर दिए- 'खै निरीक्षण भन्नु कि के भन्नु । पहिले त हामी यसलाई 'सर्वे' भन्थ्यौं ।' ....... एनआरएनको गोष्ठीका मुख्य हिरो उनी नै थिए । सबैभन्दा प्रश्न उनैलाई सोधियो र सबैभन्दा बढी टीकाटिप्पणी पनि उनकै भयो । त्यहाँ उनले 'माओवादीले नेपालमा पुँजीवादी प्रणालीलाई बलियो बनाउन बन्दुक उठाएको' दाबी गरेर पश्चिमाहरूको आशंकालाई मेट्ने प्रयास पनि गरे । ..... लन्डनमा सबैभन्दा बढी गौरव मंगलबार हाइगेटस्थित कार्ल माक्र्सको समाधिमा पुग्दा भएको सुनाए उनले । 'म माक्र्सवादको विद्यार्थी र सिपाही' भावुक हुँदै नास्तिक महराले भने- 'आफ्ना गुरुको समाधिमा उभिएको त्यो क्षणमा मलाई एक किसिमको आध्यात्मिक अनुभव भयो ।' ........ 'पहिले सांसद हुँदा रातो पासपोर्ट पनि थियो, नागरिकता पनि थियो तर ०५२ फागुनमा जनयुद्ध सुरु भएपछि त्यसै महिनाको अन्तिमतिर प्रहरीले रोल्पा लिवाङस्थित मेरो घरमा छापा मारे र दुवै जलाइदिए ।' अचानक बेलायत आउने कार्यक्रम बनेपछि गृह मन्त्रालयले जिल्ला प्रशासन कार्यालय, रोल्पाबाट ८ अक्टोबरमा नागरिकताको प्रतिलिपि मगाइदिएको र भोलिपल्ट परराष्ट्र मन्त्रालयले त्यसैका आधारमा पासपोर्ट बनाइदिइएको पनि सुनाए ....... 'यहाँ -बेलायत) को पूर्वाधार र भौतिक विकास हेर्दा मलाई नेपालमा निकै धेरै गर्न बाँकी छ भन्ने लाग्यो' ...... बिहीबारसम्म उनी रुघाखोकीले लथ्रक्क भइसकेका थिए । 'म त थला परुँलाजस्तो छ,' शुक्रबार साँझ हिथ्रो विमानस्थलबाट नेपाल र्फकने तरखरमा लागेका उनले नाक बजाउँदै 'कान्तिपुर' सँग भने- 'जे होस्, माओवादी आन्दोलनलाई अन्तर्राष्ट्रिय स्वीकार्यताको नयाँ अध्याय सुरु गरेर र्फकँदैछु ।'
सेना नयाँ नियमावली बनाउन व्यस्त
रानीपोखरीमा छठ भव्य काठमाडौं, कार्तिक ११ - पोखरी किनारमा झिलिमिली बत्तीसँग दिया बलिरहेका छन् । वरिपरि झिरझिरेको उज्यालो छरिएको छ । इन्द्रधनुषी पटका गुन्जिँदै छन् । सांस्कृतिक कार्यक्रम र झाँकी प्रदर्शित छन् । मिथिला लोकधुन घन्किँदै छ । एकातिर सूर्य पूजा भइरहेको छ भने अर्कातिर युवा- युवती डुंगाको आनन्द लिइरहेका छन् ।
कांग्रेसलाई गणतान्त्रिक बनाउन प्रस्ताव
हतियार फालेर मन्त्री खान जान्नौं’
सेनामा सुधार
लोकतन्त्रका लागि मध्यमवर्ग
धु्रवीकृत राजनीतिको सैद्धान्तिक अडान
माओवादीले धान काट्न दिएनन्

रानीपोखरीमा छठ भव्य

जितेन्द्र साह

काठमाडौं, कार्तिक ११ - पोखरी किनारमा झिलिमिली बत्तीसँग दिया बलिरहेका छन् । वरिपरि झिरझिरेको उज्यालो छरिएको छ । इन्द्रधनुषी पटका गुन्जिँदै छन् । सांस्कृतिक कार्यक्रम र झाँकी प्रदर्शित छन् । मिथिला लोकधुन घन्किँदै छ । एकातिर सूर्य पूजा भइरहेको छ भने अर्कातिर युवा- युवती डुंगाको आनन्द लिइरहेका छन् ।

छठमा पहिलोपटक खोलिएको ऐतिहासिक रानीपोखरीको यो दृश्यले हरेकलाई मोहित गरिरहेको थियो । पोखरीको मुहार बेहुलीझैं चहकिलो र सुन्दर । बटुवासमेत पर्व हेर्न झुम्मिएका । श्रद्धालुको भीड उल्लेख्य थियो । घरनजिकको नदी किनार छोडेर राजधानीका कुनाकुनाबाट रानीपोखरीमा भक्तजन ओइरिएका थिए । भीड नियन्त्रणबाहिर भएपछि पोखरीका सबै ढोका खोलिएका थिए । 'पहिलो मौका नगुमाउ“m भनेर आएकी हुँ,' कोटेश्वरबाट आएकी शर्मिला कुर्मीले भनिन्- 'राति यहीँ बस्छु, बिहान पूजा गरेर फर्किन्छु ।'

पोखरीमा २ हजार भक्तजन अटाउने क्षमता भए पनि २५ गुणा बढी जम्मा भएको आयोजक तराई सांस्कृतिक प्रतिष्ठानका अध्यक्ष श्रीप्रसाद साहले बताए ।

घर र्फकन नसकेका सयौं भक्तजनका लागि पोखरी परिसरमै पाल र तम्बु गाडेर जाग्राम बस्ने व्यवस्था छ । पोखरीनजिक त्रिचन्द्र कलेजको प्रांगणमा दिउँसो कुस्ती र रातभरि सांस्कृतिक कार्यक्रम आयोजना गरिएको छ ।

मुस्लिम, क्रिस्चियन र शिख समुदायसमेत पूजामा प्रत्यक्ष एवं अप्रत्यक्ष रूपमा संलग्न थिए ।

'मुस्लिम, शिख र क्रिस्चियन यस पूजामा आफैं सहभागी नभएर छठ व्रत बस्नेलाई आफ्नो नाममा फलफूल र मिष्टान्न चढाउन लाउँछन्,' साहले भने- 'उनीहरू रकम दिएर पूजा सामग्री किन्न र चढाउन लाउँछन् ।'

रोग निवारण, सन्तानप्राप्ति, पारिवारिक सुख र मनकामना पूर्तिका आशासाथ भक्तजनले छठ पूजा गरेका थिए । सुनसरीका छट्टु मिया र कुपन्डोलकी सारिका महर्जन तीमध्येका हुन् । छट्टुले रोगी श्रीमतीको स्वास्थ्यलाभका ेलागि एक हिन्दुमित्रमार्फत पूजा गरिरहेको बताए ।

राजधानीका बल्खु, मनहरा खोला, गौरीघाट, थापाथली, कालिमाटीस्थित टंकेश्वर महादेव मन्दिर, कलंकी भुवनेश्वरी र राममन्दिर क्षेत्रको वागमती नदी किनार पनि शनिबार साँझ झकिझकाउ थिए ।

थापाथली घाटमा पनि दिउँसो कुस्ती र राति सांस्कृतिक प्रतियोगिता आयोजना गरियो ।

थापाथलीस्थित छठ घाट समितिका महासचिव सतीश झाले यस वष करिब १० हजार भक्तजन भेला भएको बताए । उनका अनुसार यो संख्या गत वर्षको भन्दा डेढ गुणा बढी हो । उदाउँदो सूर्यलाई पूजा गरेपछि समाप्त हुने यस पर्वमा प्रसाद मागेर खाँदा पूजा गरेझैं धर्म हुने मान्यता छ । सम्पन्नदेखि विपन्नसम्म छठको प्रसाद पाउन नदीकिनारमा लाम लाग्छन् ।



SOLICITING PEACE....


Peace can neither be attained by erecting a white peace pole on Swoyambhunath hill nor simply by hoisting a white flag on the top of Mt. Everest. Peace can not sustain by merely illuminating candles on the Ashok Pillar in Lumbini or just by liberating few pigeons (who already deserve to fly free) at Tundikhel. Peace is a distant reality if one inspires to embrace it by praying with holy bids inside the Boudhhanath monastery. Peace is also impossible to surface simply by professing the divinely power of Allah before the dawn over a loud speaker at Jamey Mosque in Ghantaghar. Peace is not waiting to emerge as a miracle from the white marbled church's basement in Jawalakhel. Peace never germinates from the sacrifice of innocent animals in the blood-bathed Dakshinkali temple or also by lighting Lakh Batti in Pashupatinath Temple. Enduring peace is possible only through just means of conflict transformation and securing transitional justice further than the premises of any holy shrines--in the open battlefields in Rolpa, Rukum & Rautaht and elsewhere. And...peace can not be conserved in isolation from rights and liberty!
-Gopal Krishna Siwakoti

Solve The Bhutani Refugee Crisis: Send Them West






Other countries also interested to take in Bhutanese refugees United States .... 60,000 .... Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden and other EU countries have inquired about 'quota' related with resettlement of Bhutanese refugees. ...... as per the 15-year-old data, there are 106,000 Bhutanese refugees languishing in Nepal ...... the UNHCR, which considers it provides a real hope for resolving one of the most protracted refugee crises in Asia.
There are 110,000 of them. America will take 60,000. Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden and others will take the rest. Be done with it. Send them west. Let them have the good life.

Tek Nath Rizal or any political leader may not decide on behalf of the refugess. I don't think the offer by America and others is to pack up the refugees against their will and take them away to some foreign land, far away from home. There is an implicit, explicit suggestion that free will is involved. Noone who does not want to go will be forced to go. That is obvious. But let not these refugees be pawns in the tug of war between an autocratic, ethnicist regime in Bhutan and their democratic opponents like Rizal.

Tek Nath Rizal does not have the authority to say no to the proposal. Who elected him? He does not speak on behalf of the refugees. He can try and convince them to not go, but he may not decide on their behalf.

This refugee crisis b.s. has gone on for too long, and I am sick and tired of it. These people have been living in makeshift conditions. That is not a good life.

I am all for democracy. Bhutan is small fry. We are going to force democracy onto Bhutan, and Burma and Pakistan. But we have to do it the nonviolent way, the smart way.

Take Nepal for an example. The Nepali diaspora played a key role in the April Revolution. The April Revolution could not have happened without the diaspora, plain and simple.

Let these hundred thousand Bhutanese go west, and live the good life, make the dollars, and form the nucleus of a militant - as in nonviolent militancy - democracy movement for Bhutan. Money makes a difference. Go make the money.

Tek Nath Rizal is not making any sense to me. He is hurting his own cause. I think he himself should move to New York to better coordinate the democracy movement. Or he should seek a better arrangement for himself such that he gets to shuttle between New York, Delhi, Kathmandu and Darjeeling.

As long as you stay nonviolent, you can wage your movement from America, from India, from Nepal. Why not? No Indian official will dare get in your way. You circle Bhutan. And then you wage the decisive fight inside Bhutan. And usher democracy. Declare the country a republic. The heck with the kings of the world. Screw Jingme Singme.

I myself would love to get involved in a very personal way. Come on over. We have the experience, and we will happily share. There is a basic formula to spreading democracy and you can have it for free.

This move also will have global implications. Middle East, for example. The two sticklers there are Jerusalem and the refugee issue. There is a need there also to think outside the box. I don't know who in the US foreign policy establishment first came up with this idea - perhaps Moriarty - but that person is a small league genius.

Jerusalem. Take it away from both Israel and Palestine. Hand over its administration to the UN. Make it an international city. Refugees? First find out how many of them want to go back to Israel. Then find out how many of them Israel will take. The difference? Send them out to America, Europe, Australia. Let them have the good life.

Like Lenin said, two steps forward, one step back.

Tek Nath Rizal needs to get out of the way of the sensible solution. Instead he should ride the wave. Get 100,000 Bhutanis out west. Form a strong political organization that encompasses all of them. Have each such person make a voluntary 10% contribution of the money they make out west to that organization, to be administered in a transparent way. Let the organization have periodic internal elections. And go on an all out attack on Jingme. Finish him off. Bhutan needs to become a federal republic.

Who says you have to suffer to wage a successful democracy movement! You could be living in air conditioned aparments, sipping orage juice, watching cable TV, and waging revolution.

So to Tek Nath Rizal I say, get off your butt, and let things move. Move fast.

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In The News

Acharya camp demands special convention in NC NepalNews With the objective of making republic as the major policy of Nepali Congress (NC), campaigners for republic within the party have demanded special general convention or the meeting of Mahasamiti (general committee). ..... Gagan Thapa, a student leader and another leader of the campaign, informed that in order to press party president Girija Prasad Koirala to adopt republican line, 100,000 signatures of active youth members of the party will be submitted to him soon. "If communists alone carry the slogan of republic, neither the republic will come nor peace will be restored. Congress must become republican in order to win the confidence of Nepali people and international community," said Acharya.

Maoists extend ceasefire; talks moving positively: Prachanda NepalNews the main contentious issues – the fate of monarchy and management of Maoist arms
PM Koirala, Prachanda discuss position of monarchy, arms management The eight political parties had given the responsibility of finding consensus on the issue of like monarchy and arms management to Prime Minister Koirala and Maoist supremo Prachanda. .... The SPA has been saying that the fate of monarchy should be decided either through a referendum or elections to the constituent assembly and the Maoists' arms should be managed before the CA polls while the rebels remain firm not to leave any space for the King in the interim constitution and that their arms should be managed only after resolving the political issues. ..... Meanwhile, the CPN-UML, the second largest party in the SPA, has started discussion with other political parties on the unresolved issues..... It was the UML that first floated a proposal of deciding the fate of monarchy through referendum.
PAC recommends impeachment of two SC judges
Decision should not focus on arms management: Former PM Bhattarai Bhattrai further said that weapons should be separated from the Maoists and the government should also set aside its arms. ... Bhattarai said that he met Mahatma Gandhi during his education period in Kashi in 2007 BS. He said that he had urged Gandhi to write a letter to the Ranas in Nepal to release leaders, including BP Koirala, from jail. When the Indian papers, after getting a whiff of Gandhi writing the letter published the news, the Ranas released BP Koirala. .... Bhattarai also demanded the release of Myanmar’s Aung San Suuki .... Prakash Man Singh alleged that Nepali Congress President and Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala is hindering the unity of two congress parties. ...... Deuba had put forward a proposal to carry out necessary homework by constituting a six-member task force- three from each party but Koirala rejected this outright saying that he himself would handle everything, as a result the unification process has gotten nowhere ...... Koirala has been asking us to join his party

Summit talks soon after PM’s return from Biratnagar: Home Minister NepalNews
Republican Front sans NC will be formed, says Gautam "The front will be against monarchy. And if the NC supports monarchy, then it will also be against NC," said Gautam. ..... Hridayesh Tripathy, Minister for Industry, Commerce and Supplies, has said that PM Koirala's remarks about the republican front are his personal opinion. "His views would not affect the environment for talks," said Tripathy who had met with Koirala at his residence in Biratnagar on Thursday.
PM says his comment on ‘republican front’ won’t affect SPA unity the Prime Minister said it is his democratic right to express his views. He also urged the party workers not to put unnecessary pressure on him to agree on pro-republic agendas of the communists.
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Siddhartha Thapa

  1. As far as the peace talks are concerned, more or less the Maobadis and the SPA have reached a consensus, i.e on most political issues. For example, the fate of monarchy etc will be decided by the constituent assembly elections etc etc. However the talks at the moment have stalled due to the issue of weapons management. Therefore the prospect of the peace talks succeding depends largely on the Maoists stance on arms management.We have recieved credible information that Prachanda in his talks with the Prime Minister had more or less agreed to all isssues including that of weapons of management. But Prachanda changed his stance dramatically after his proposal was turned down by the dominant hard-line fraction with in the Maobadi.
  2. UML - the UML is having dilemas vis-a-vis ideological ambiguity. The Maobadis are moving aggressively indoctrinating cadres of UML into their outfit while the top leaders of UML are in dolldrums regarding how to deal with Maobadis. The Maobadis have already exerted their influence into the rank and file of the UML and clear divisions are begining to surface in the UML.
  3. The Royalist( Kamal Thapa et all) - The royalist are yearning for adequate political space. There were reports although not verified that about 3-4000 small arms were sneaked into the palace about 3 weeks ago. The Maoist intelligence responded to this revelation by raiding the house of Bikram Thapa( RPP Chairman of Kathmandu). However no arms were found. But a few days later news reports emerged that a royalist outfit through statement circulated to media houses through out the country proclaimed their arrival in the scene of conflict by taking up arms for the king.
  4. Maobadis - Desptie some optimism( go back to point 1) that the peace talks might succede and the Maoist should be given adequate space. There are reasons for us to doubt the sincerity of the Maoists. First, I myself saw numerous Maoist check points within the Kathmandu valley. These check points resembled army checkings during the state of emergency. Secondly, the Maoist have started patrolling the streets of Kathmandu while the army remains confined in the barrack.Patan and Balaju Industrial estate have become detention centres and Kangaroo courts of the Maoist. And the Maoist have gone ahead by arresting some notorious gangsters of Kathmandu fearing they might be used against the Maobadis in time.
    But on the political front, the Maobadis have decided on the following :
    • Political parties - divide and rule. Although they have portrayed GPK as the next president, they are simultaneously engaged in talks with other parties. I believe the Maobadis along with the UML have proposed Deuba to lead the Republican Alliance. Hence, the call from Koirala for the early unification of NC to quash the plans of UML and Maobadis. Another important facet is the labelling of political parties as regressive forces should they not toe the Maoist line.
    • Armed forces - The UML too have assimiliated themselves into the Maoist plans of systematically disturbing the balance of security forces. I would not hesitate to label other leftist in this scheme. Their intention is to constantly label NA as human right violators and discredit the army so that when the times comes for deployment, the NA will already be shunned in the eyes of the people. The other might be to instigate the army into action therefore turning the political table against them.
    • Judiciary - The appointment of judges has been delayed for quite some time. In the absence of judges, the judiciary has not been able to function as per the demand. Therefore, people are consequently going to kangaroo courts established by the Maoist for justice ( even in Kathmandu). Secondly, the Maoist indeed have a big hand in the delay of the appointment of judges. However more importantly leftist judges have filed petition against the appointment of army chief, hence bringing about a direct confrontation between the state judiciary and the executive. The Supreme Court has also questioned the legality of the HOR proclomation.
  5. The prospect of able backbenchers utility - The good news is that GPK has slowly started to distrsut Sitaula. Sitaula was on the verge of being fired and KP Oli I believe was about to replace him. But the Maoist intervened and objected. Nonetheless the point is that Girija has roped in Arjunnarsingh KC,Dr.Ramsaran Mahat, Ramchandra Poudel, Mahesh Archarya into the talks with the Maoist. At no time is Sitaula left alone in dealing with the Maoist. However, the utility of able backbenchers is still marred due to pending cases at the CIAA. Although most allegations have been cleared for the likes of Khum Bahadur, Govinda Raj etc, their cases are still hinging in the court due to the direct interference of the home minister. I believe direct orders to prolong the cases. These people especially Khum Bahadur and Govinda Raj harbour very anti-maoist and anti-leftist sentiment are very popular within the Nepali Congress.
  6. Surya Bahadur Thapa - By far is the major obstacle to the Maoist. The man still exerts influence and respect in the Nepali Congress and with the Indian establishment. His reading is - anarchy- followed by maoist control and then disintergration of the state. The Maoist are systematically aiming to take over politically and the last resort is an urban rising. By this he doesnt mean an urban uprising will not be staged. It will be staged but before that the Maoist will do what so ever politically to control the centre and if that fails last resort is urban uprising. And the issue he has been raising repeatedly is that of the militia. Provided the peace talks do not dwelve in the aspect of containing or disarming the militia, the Maoist will have an overwhelming majority in the CA elections and then write a constitution that will make Nepal a one party communist state. Feb 1st and the 12 point understanding led to a situation where the institution of monarchy was the casualty, secondly, after the HOR proclomation and the 8point agreement the constitution became the casualty and now if proper home work and a strong stance is not take against the Maoist - the third casualty - democracy. It is important rope the maoist into the mainstream, it is the need but however, the parties to have be to equally committed ideologically, politically and strategically in dealing with the Maoist. And then can you compel the Maoist into democratic main stream.
    Why is the issue of disarming militias so critical as proposed by Surya Bahadur Thapa ?
    The PLA has so far fought with the state security forces. But on the other hand, the Maoist militia is the organ through which the party recruits, extorts, abducts and attempts to displine society by instilling fear with the use of guns. There are according to intelligence reports about 25,000 militia through the country armed with small weapons. While the PLA has fought with the state security forces, the Maoist militia is the vital party organ that deals with the people on day to day basis. So even if the PLA is disarmed, it still leaves a large and a potent force of Maoist armed with small weapons. Therefore, should elections come, the Maoist will mobilize their armed goons through out the country and the end result of the elections will tilt in favour of the Maoist. The political parties on the other hand will pose no threat to the Maoist during election campaigns as the Maoist will have an unfair advantage - disposal of small weapons in their hands. Consequently a desired atmosphere for free and fair elections will not surface and the Maoists will barge the elections with an absolute majority. Therefore, the issue of weapons management and that of disarming the militia along with the PLA is the most vital issue in Nepali politics today.
  7. The issue of displaced people - There are about eight hundred thousand displaced people in Nepal today. However, it is our thought that along with peace process, those who have been displaced in the conflict should also be rehabilitated during the transitional phase. For free and fair Constituent Assembly elections and for the larger Nepali population to take part in the this democratic exercise, it is essential internal refugees are rehabilitated. Nonetheless the rehabilitation process of the displaced people is not desireable to the Maoist. This is becuase majority of the displaced people fled due to Maoist atrocities and mainly during the initial phases of the war.Majority of Nepali Congress and UML cadres were vindicated by the Maoist as class enemies. The popular slogan of the Maoist needs to be reassrted - "Congress lai khoji khoji, A-MALEY - lai roji roji, RAPRAPA lai sodi, sodi". Therefore, should the rehabilitation process be delayed, genuine voters of Nepali Congress and UML will be deprived from their right to vote. As the Election Commission demands, voters must return to their constituency for voting, these eight hundred thousand refugees who have been refuging in the captial will be denied the right to vote. Hence it is in the interest of the Maoist to delay or altogether sabotage the rehabilitation process of internal refugees.