Wednesday, February 23, 2005

The King's Best Option: Go Back On TV One More Time


If The King Himself Were To Take Initiative For The Constituent Assembly.

I mean, he could go on national television and say something like this. That way Nepal will be spared the humiliation of India, on its own, arranging mediation between the "rebels" and the king. Even if he fails to bring the Maoists around, he will at least bring the democrats together. I have a strong feeling the Maoists will come around. Peace making is a skill, like playing soccer. You can't just wish it. You have to work it. Coalition building requires a certain relentlessness.

The king's two biggest enemies are: (1) the ex-Panches, and (2) the top brass of the army. Neither care if the monarchy stays or goes. All they care is in terms of their short term career advancements. And neither can deliver. The army can not deliver a military victory over the Maoists. And the Panchayati ghosts like Giri and Bishta can not deliver law and order or peace talks.

Beloved Countrymen and women.

I come back to you today to make an announcement that I hope will bring together the various political factions in the country. I had to dismiss the previous government since it had failed in its mandate to hold talks with the Maoists. The subsequent emergency that was imposed was a choice of last resort on my part. It was not something that made me happy. But it was a compulsion under the circumstances.

The political parties that participated in the multi-party framework of the 1990s, for all their deficiencies, are our vanguards for democracy, as they themselves will evolve and perfect the democratic experiment over time, as long as periodic free and fair elections can be ensured.

The Maoists come from an entirely different ideological background, but there are many from the communist movement, like our own late Madan Bhandari, who have managed to make room for the multi-party framework without giving up on their ultimate socialist utopian dream. Ideological purity is not a precondition for participation in a democracy, a commitment to peaceful co-existence is.

I must say the Maoists have raised some valid social issues. But it is not my place to get involved in those details. It is for the democratic process to deal with all political and social issues.

Diversity in viewpoints, opinions, and ideology is possible within the democratic framework. The western free marketeers themselves have been perfecting the market economy forever. There is no one fix-all, either in politics or economics.

There were many patriotic Nepalis who made valuable contributions to the country during the Panchayat era as well. Diversity of opinion should make room for that as well.

I love my late father King Mahendra, and take great pride in my ancestors, like the founder of the dynasty, late King Prithvi, as I think all of you should in terms of your own individual families. I think it would be wrong to judge those from times past with our perspectives available today. And I greatly miss my late brothers and their families and I will continue to do so for the rest of my life. Kings have sentiments also.

Today we live in a different world. As I have said before, the monarchy in the 21st century can only stand for democracy. This is a different time we live in compared to where the world was 50 or 250 years ago. The history of other countries carry the same message. The oldest continuous democracy America itself was a very imperfect democracy as little as 50 years ago.

The first thing I did after taking over was to extend an open invitation to the Maoists. It was made very clear we were willing to seek all options including that of the Constituent Assembly.

As the heir to the throne, I consider it my duty to seek the continuation of the monarchy. And I am confident that if the Nepali people are given a chance to vote in a free and fair manner, they will express their support to keep the monarchy around. And I can live with the opinions of those who might disagree.

With this proclamation, I hereby restore all fundamental rights. And I invite all political parties represented in the last parliament as well as the Maoists to form an all-party government to which I will also make a maximum of two nominations. That government will have a two-point agenda. One, to restore peace in the country. And, two, to hold elections within a year of taking over for a Constituent Assembly. People will vote for parties and coalitions. And the percentage of votes each might get will determine the number of seats each gets in the subsequent 205-member Assembly.

That Assemlby will elect a government and draft a Constitution, to be put to a referendum within a year. If passed, that document will become the fundamental law of the land.

To participate in the all-party government and the subsequent elections, the Maoists will have to agree to lay down their arms. We can not have them continue with the insurgency so as to pressure the government in ways they might see fit, or to disagree with the outcome of the Constituent Assembly, should they find it not in their favor. That possibility can not be allowed. It might be possible to integrate the Maoist fighters into the army, but not as separate battalions. Their cadres will have to go through the same screening process that any other Nepali might have gone through before. And the subsequent expansion of the army will have to make budgetary sense.

If the Maoists can not come around to the Constituent Assembly then, I am afraid, we will have only the military option left to bring the insurgency to an end. I hope we do not have to fall for that last resort.

For now I invite all political parties to come together and join hands and form an all-party government that will have the executive powers.

On my part, as heir to the throne, I hope to reform the monarchy. Future generations will marry individuals of their choice and not necessarily within a few select families, or even within the country. The first born, son or daughter, should ascend to the throne. The royal budget should go back to the level it was at in 2001. I hope to keep an active interest in the affairs of the country, and keep in touch with political leaders of all persuasions. But that will still be a
Constitutional Monarch. The parliament will be running the country. And I hope to open up variuos holdings of my family for public viewing so as to generate enough tourist revenue for the state that it might offset the state expenditures on the monarchy. We are a Hindu family that hundreds of millions of Hindus all over the world relate to. That will continue to be so. But it will be just fine if in the new constitution the country is declared a secular state.

Of course, the political parties will be free to campaign for a republic, or for a Constitutional Monarchy, as they might please. But I hope many will campaign for a reformed Constitutional Monarchy. The monarchy is the most deeply rooted institution in the country that adds to the country's uniqueness in the eyes of our neighbors and the world.

I have always thought in terms of the best of the country and its beloved peoples. I hope we can all come together and unleash the potential of this great country and put it on the path of rapid economic growth. I personally take great pride in the rapid economic growth and promise of our two great neighbors, India and China. I hope we can benefit from their advances as that of the rest of the world. We may disagree on the particulars, but I hope we will do so peacefully,
and within the democratic framework.

May Lord Pashupatinath bless us all.

Tuesday, February 22, 2005

The Tide Might Be Turning


Just look at this. I am giving King G a few more weeks.

With India, US, and UK united, China is not going to even think of meddling. So India does not have to worry about "balancing it out" with China. Another evidence Gyanendra trying to repeat the Mahendra use of the China card is obsolete, out of date by about 45 years.

And the US and UK want India to play the lead. So it boils down to India. And India has made it very clear where it stands. Bring back press freedom, release all political prisoners, restore basic rights.

The king kicked the Nepali people out of the equation totally. Now it looks like his entire gameplan rested on international support. This guy is so far away from reality, it is not even funny. His plan has backfired in ways he can not even begin to fathom.

And look at this Ramesh Nath Pandey guy. He actually would like India and the US to believe that there is only one force standing between the Maoist takeover of India, and possibly even the US, and that force is the king, and so India and the US should support the king, for their own good. This has got to be the Mount K2 of delusion.

What these Monarchist autocrats are failing to see, among many things, is that India is an emerging global superepower, on par with the US and UK. And Indian opinion matters. It matters a lot on the question of democracy in Nepal. It matters totally.

If the king will not on his own go for an all-party government that includes the Maoists and a Constituent Assembly, then India should step in and facilitate that. If the monarchy is to survive, let it do so through a fresh mandate from the people.

King G reminds me of Trent Lott. Lott made a racist comment, and lost his job, but he never came around to seeing he had made a racist comment. He just did never "get" it. King G does not "get" it.
  • India says halts military aid to Nepal Reuters India, India ......urging the king to restore democracy, release political leaders and lift curbs on the media ..... "As of now, many aspects of our bilateral relations are being re-assessed and reviewed. ..... restore democracy, free politicians and lift media curbs. .....
  • Britain suspends military aid to Nepal Reuters AlertNet .....The 1.3 million pound ($2.5 million) package of non-lethal equipment announced in January includes vehicles, night flying and communications improvements and bomb disposal equipment...... "We are now considering with key international partners what our longer term policy for providing assistance to Nepal should be
  • India freezes military assistance to Nepal Hindustan Times, India .....arms and ammunition, helicopters, armoured vehicles, bullet proof-vests and helmets, besides military training to its soldiers.....India, one of the major providers of military assistance to Nepal, gives assistance at a 70 per cent subsidy. In the last five years, India's military assistance has been worth nearly Rs 3 billion (nearly $70 million)...... New Delhi is closely monitoring the situation in Nepal and reviewing and reassessing it almost on a daily basis ..... demand for the release of detained political leaders and members of civil society, restoration of civil and media rights and restoring multiparty democracy ..... The decision will come as a blow for the RNA and the new government that had been hoping for continuation of Indian military aid on the ground that it was needed to fight the Maoist insurgency, that is also a threat to Indian security as well as entire South Asia. ..... The envoys of India, the US and the UK are said to be in close consultation and the Indian decision is likely to affect the British and American decisions. In the wake of the royal takeover, the British government issued a statement saying it was reviewing development and security assistance to Nepal.
  • India ends military aid to Nepal BBC News
  • India asks Nepal to lift press curbs Newindpress .....Nepal has not received any military assistance from the donor countries after the February one royal takeover...... "We have expressed our grave concern over discriminately targeting Indian joint venture establishments, including the UTL (wireless telephone service), which has been restricted to operate its service since February 1 royal coup," ..... India has joined countries including the UK, USA and EU member states in urging the king to reinstate multiparty democracy, restore fundamental rights and release all political activists, saying their economic assistance and military aid will depend on Nepal's response.
  • Nepal foreign minister sure of international support:New Kerala, India .....Nepalese Foreign Minister Ramesh Nath Pandey is confident the new royalist government will ride the present crisis with return of international support ..... "The king has said it is the obligation of all political parties, the intelligentsia and members of civil society to work unitedly to protect multiparty democracy from the threat of terrorism...... He said at stake was not only Nepal's peace and security but the "future of the entire region and eventually the world". ..... "The king has publicly appealed to the Maoists to join mainstream politics. His condition is that the meeting point should be patriotism...... "In case of a civil, war, no one will win
  • Indo-Nepal ties a story of wasted chances: Minister (INTERVIEW) Indo-Asian News Service
  • US wants India to play a "leading role" in Nepal: New Kerala, India ..... The United States wants India to play a "leading role" in facilitating restoration of democracy in Nepal and would support New Delhi's efforts to bring the Government and rebels there to the dialogue table ..... "Our approach is to look to India, which has comprehensive relations with the country, for a supportive role rather than step in. India should play the leading role," ..... The U S and Britain keep the view that India should have the lead position with its comprehensive relations with Nepal ..... The U S has a free-standing bilateral relationship with India based on India's position in the present world.
  • India must take the lead on Nepal: US Sify ..... would support New Delhi's efforts to bring the Government and rebels to the dialogue table ..... India should play the leading role ..... "Any effort can be made for Nepal to return to a democratic format," he said, when asked if US will support any Indian offer for mediation between rebels and the Government of Nepal...... "The three countries are the key players. The US and Britain keep the view that India should have the lead position with its comprehensive relations with Nepal."
  • Britain halts military aid to Nepal Daily Telegraph, Australia
  • India concerned about JVs in Nepal Indo-Asian News Service, India
  • Swiss projects come to a halt in NepalIndo-Asian News Service, India

Monday, February 21, 2005

Hridayesh Tripathy In Delhi: Good News


This is the first time I am reading news on Tripathy. I guess he is in Delhi with Mahato. I am glad he is not under house arrest like Girija and MaKuNe and others.
  • Nepal leaders seek India's support in fight for democracy: New Kerala, India ......political leaders today demanded elections for a constituent assembly in the Himalayan Kingdom and holding of talks to resolve the Maoist menace...... Observing that the reasons behind the Maoist resurgence were political, economic and social, Nepal Sadbhavna Party (A) leader Rajendra Mahto said the insurgency problem could be solved only through talks and not military action........Mahto's colleague Hridayesh Tripathi said "the King did not want to get rid of the Maoist problem but wants to keep it going to get foreign aid." Claiming that King Gyanendra was "inspired" by Pakistan President Gen Pervez Musharraf, he said "the monarch may spring up a new constitution for the Himalayan Kingdom under the garb of development."...... Dictatorship in Nepal would be "bad" for India, said Sujata, the daughter of former Premier Girija Prasad Koirala, who fled her country earlier this week......."We want an elected constituent assembly which should have the powers to decide the future of Nepal," she said adding abolition of monarchy should be the goal of any political movement.
  • Former Nepalese PM's life under threat: daughter: New Kerala ....he was being slow-poisoned ..... ....Chitrabahadur Keshi of the Nepalese Communist Party (Jan Morcha) favoured a common front with everyone including the Maoist guerrillas ...
We are in a major fix here. This king is taking the country backwards in time. You have to see him for what he is, or you will not know how to counter his moves.

I feared he might go down the Burma path: shun the larger powers, just keep at it. But he is not going for that. Nepal is too dependent on foreign powers for aid. He timed his coup in such a way that he would make an appearance at the SAARC summit a few days later and thus become legitimate. Good thing Manmohan Singh foiled that move. But that reveals the king is greatly susceptible to the trio of India, US and UK, especially India. And India does not really have to think a whole lot about China. Nepal is not China's backyard. Besides, as long as you do not mess with China's grand strategy of rapid economic growth, it really is not adventurous outside its borders.

I am worried about the US posture on the Maoists. I mean, the heck with it. The US dare not repeat its Cold War mistakes in Latin America when it routinely sponsored right wing militias who went on to conduct major, major human rights abuses. The US dare not repeat that in Nepal.

I fear people like (US Ambassador) Moriarty have been projecting their personal readings into Russing communism of the 1930s and Chinese communism of the 1960s onto the Nepali Maoists. It is like me saying, Moriarty, I can't deal with you because you are a segregationist. I mean, that is what white folks were 40 years back. But things change.

The Maoists have to be taken for their word on the Constituent Assembly.

Their ideology is no different than that of the late Madan Bhandari. The so-called Prachanda Path makes ample room for the multi-party framework. A political platform of a Democratic Republic has to be the meeting ground.

As long as the Maoists disarm and participate within a multi-party democratic framework, who cares if they keep dreaming of a socialist utopia a hundred years from now?

And I think they will.

But before the Maoists, all the democratic forces need to come around and present a Common Minimum Program that can be expressed in two words: Democratic Republic. Reaching out to seek common ground with the Maoists comes second.

There might even be room to reach out to the king, but not from a position of weakness. That third phase meeting ground could be another two words: Constituent Assembly. But regardless to say, the king is not even negotiating. He feels he is too strong to cut corners.