Democracy For Nepal: tibet

Showing posts with label tibet. Show all posts

Friday, July 11, 2025

1. Monsoon Floods Wash Away Nepal-China Friendship Bridge, 28 Missing

On July 8, 2025, catastrophic monsoon floods swept away the Nepal-China Friendship Bridge at Rasuwagadhi in the Rasuwa district, a major trade route 120 km north of Kathmandu. The incident left 28 people missing, including six Chinese nationals, three police officers, and several Nepali workers and traders.

Casualties: At least eight confirmed dead.
Damage: The customs yard and border facilities sustained major destruction, halting trade with China.
Response: Nepal’s Army and Armed Police Force rescued 55 people via helicopter, but search operations for the missing continue.
The incident has drawn bilateral concern, affecting Nepal-China infrastructure cooperation.

📚 AP News | NYT | Reuters

2. Tibetan Glacial Lake Outburst Identified as Flood Trigger

According to a July 9 report by ICIMOD and regional climate researchers, the flash flood was likely caused by a Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF) in Tibet.

Scientific cause: Sudden drainage of a glacial lake in Tibet fed into the Bhote Koshi river, overwhelming infrastructure downstream.
Climate implications: Highlights the urgency of climate resilience in Himalayan border regions and calls for cross-border data sharing and early warning systems.

🌍 This is part of a growing trend: over 3,000 glacial lakes in the Hindu Kush Himalayas are classified as potentially dangerous.

3. Indigenous Forest Guardians Protect Nepal’s Endangered Red Pandas

On July 9, global media spotlighted grassroots conservation efforts led by Indigenous guardians like Surya Bhattarai to protect the critically endangered red panda (Ailurus fulgens).

Threats: Habitat destruction, illegal logging, unregulated road building, and hydropower expansion.
Conservation status: Fewer than 10,000 red pandas remain globally; Nepal is home to an estimated one-third of the wild population.
Indigenous models: Emphasis on traditional ecological knowledge and community-led conservation zones.

📰 ICT News - Indigenous Report

4. Kailash Mansarovar Yatra Resumes Through Nepal

The reopening of the Kailash Mansarovar Yatra route through Nepal was announced in early July after a pandemic-induced hiatus and cross-border delays.

Religious significance: Mount Kailash is sacred to Hindus, Buddhists, Jains, and Bon followers.
Route: The path via Nepal (through Simikot and Hilsa) is a shorter, safer, and alternative to the traditional Chinese route.
Economic impact: The yatra is expected to boost religious tourism, especially in Karnali Province, creating income for local guides, lodges, and porters.

5. NEPSE Index Crosses 2,700 as Investor Confidence Rises

On July 10, 2025, the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) reached a multi-month high, surging to over 2,740 points, reflecting strong momentum in banking, hydropower, and insurance stocks.

Market factors: Increased liquidity, optimism over monsoon-linked agriculture yields, and improved investor sentiment.
Economic context: The upswing follows government assurances of capital market reforms, digital trading improvements, and reduced interest rates.

6. Governance Reform Debates Resurface in Nepal’s Banking Sector

A July 10 editorial in The Kathmandu Post argued that poor governance—not shareholding concentration—is the root issue plaguing Nepal’s financial sector.

Background: Nepal Rastra Bank has been investigating ownership transparency, especially in Class A commercial banks.
Core concerns: Political appointments, insider lending, and delayed regulatory action continue to undermine public trust and FDI prospects.

7. 10th National Games Scheduled for November 2025

The Prime Minister formally announced that the 10th National Games will take place in November 2025, with host province Gandaki preparing venues.

Significance: Encourages youth engagement in sports and fosters national unity across ethnic and regional lines.
Scope: Events to include athletics, football, swimming, martial arts, and more, with thousands of athletes from all seven provinces.

8. Nepali Diaspora Supports Women’s Football in Uzbekistan

In a heartwarming development, Nepali fan Himgyap Tashi Lama traveled from the US to Uzbekistan to rally support for Nepal’s women’s football team, drawing global attention.

Impact: The spontaneous diaspora cheer squad surprised players and boosted morale, highlighting diaspora passion for national teams.
Global trend: Reflects the increasing visibility of Nepali athletes abroad and calls for better infrastructure and support back home.

9. Former Cricket Coach Desai’s Winning Legacy Honored

Former national cricket coach Monty Desai, who led Nepal to 11 wins out of 12 matches in the ICC CWC League 2, was honored in a July 10 tribute piece.

Milestone: His leadership played a pivotal role in qualifying Nepal for the 2023 ODI World Cup Global Qualifiers.
Legacy: Set a new benchmark for professionalism and team cohesion in Nepal’s rising cricket landscape.

10. Renewed Advocacy for Reproductive Rights in Nepal

A July 10 op-ed emphasized reproductive autonomy and education, urging the government to safeguard universal access to reproductive health services.

Background: While Nepal legalized abortion in 2002 and expanded access through public hospitals, rural disparities and cultural stigma persist.
Call to action: The piece calls for investment in awareness, safe clinics, and the integration of sexual health education into school curriculums.

Summary Notes:

Dominant Theme: Climate risk and resilience remain at the forefront, with the bridge collapse highlighting both environmental fragility and bilateral challenges with China.
Conservation and identity: Indigenous guardians, red panda protection, and religious pilgrimages signal Nepal’s delicate balance between tradition and modernity.
Finance and sports: Optimism in NEPSE, sports development, and diaspora involvement suggest growing institutional confidence and national pride.

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Monday, June 02, 2025

History Of Tibet Nepal Trade

The history of Tibet-Nepal trade stretches back more than two millennia, forming one of the most ancient and vital trans-Himalayan trade routes in Asia. This corridor was never just about goods—it was a lifeline of commerce, culture, religion, diplomacy, and mutual interdependence. Here’s a detailed chronological account of the Tibet-Nepal trade history, showing how integral this trade route has been to both civilizations.

1. Prehistoric and Early Trade (before 1st century CE)

Archaeological evidence suggests barter-style trade between Himalayan tribes and Tibetan plateau communities long before recorded history.
Nepal’s fertile mid-hill valleys and Tibet’s pastoral and mineral-rich lands led to natural economic complementarity—Tibet lacked salt and grains; Nepal lacked wool and livestock.
The salt-for-grain trade was among the earliest economic exchanges.

2. Lichhavi Period (c. 400–750 CE)

During the reign of the Lichhavi kings in Nepal, Kathmandu Valley emerged as a center of trade and culture.
Changu Narayan inscriptions (5th century CE) record trade relations with Tibet.
Nepalese artisans and traders moved to Tibet with Buddhist monks—commerce often traveled with religion.

3. Early Buddhist Exchange (7th–9th century CE)

The legendary Nepalese Princess Bhrikuti married Tibetan King Songtsen Gampo (early 7th century), forging a strong alliance between Nepal and Tibet.
She is said to have brought Buddhist scriptures, artisans, and cultural influence from Nepal to Tibet.
Nepalese craftsmen built temples in Lhasa, like the Jokhang and Ramoche temples, marking cultural-commercial integration.

4. Malla Period (12th–18th century CE): Golden Age of Trade

Under the Malla kings, Kathmandu Valley became a thriving trade hub.
Trans-Himalayan trade routes—especially the Kuti Pass (Nyalam) and Kerung Pass (Gyirong)—were major conduits.
Nepal exported: rice, grains, ghee, metal crafts, textiles
Tibet exported: salt, wool, gold, musk, yak products
Newar merchants formed trade guilds that operated in Lhasa and other Tibetan towns for generations.
Coins minted in Nepal were accepted across Tibet and often preferred due to purity.
Nepalese caravans, often 100+ yaks strong, would make annual journeys to Lhasa—known as “Tibeti Bheti” (Tibetan visitation).

5. Gorkha Conquest and Treaty of 1792

In the late 18th century, Prithvi Narayan Shah’s Gorkha expansion led to conflicts with Tibet.
After the Nepal-Tibet war, the Sino-Nepal Treaty of 1792 was signed (with Qing China as Tibet’s protector).
The treaty allowed Nepal to send quinquennial missions (every five years) to Lhasa with both diplomatic and trade purposes.
These missions were richly laden with gifts and goods and symbolized Nepal’s continued trade rights.

6. British Colonial Era (19th – early 20th century)

British interest in Tibet and Central Asia made Nepal strategically significant.
The British tried to use Nepal as a route to Tibet, but Nepal tightly controlled trade access to preserve its privileged position.
Nepalese traders had quasi-monopoly status over Himalayan trade for much of this period.
In Lhasa, Newar traders (Lhasa Newars) established permanent settlements, some of which lasted until the mid-20th century.

7. Modern Disruptions (1950s–1960s)

The Chinese annexation of Tibet in 1950 dramatically changed the Himalayan trade dynamics.
The 1956 closure of the border and nationalization of Tibetan trade curtailed centuries-old routes.
Nepalese merchants in Tibet were expelled or forced to leave.
Trade via traditional passes like Kuti and Kerung dwindled to a trickle.

8. Revival and Modern Era (1980s–present)

With China’s reform era and Nepal-China bilateral relations improving, trade routes were slowly reopened.
The Kerung-Rasuwa route became the key modern link between Tibet (now part of China) and Nepal.
Lhasa-Kathmandu trade has resumed, though under tighter regulation.
China has invested in infrastructure to turn this route into a modern trade corridor, potentially connecting with One Belt One Road (BRI).
In 2016, Kerung was designated an international customs point, replacing the damaged Kodari route (after the 2015 Nepal earthquake).
Talks continue on expanding rail and road links from Tibet into Nepal, potentially reaching Lumbini and India—reviving old pathways with new technologies.

Significance to Tibet and Nepal

Tibet relied heavily on Nepal for foodstuffs, skilled artisans, religious artifacts, and as a cultural partner.
Nepal gained not just economic benefits but also spiritual prestige, acting as a cultural intermediary between India and Tibet.
Trade was also an instrument of diplomacy, fostering centuries of peace and cultural symbiosis.
The Lhasa Newars were the human face of this trade—they spoke multiple languages, practiced Buddhism and Hinduism, and represented the unique fusion of Himalayan civilizations.

Conclusion

The Tibet-Nepal trade route is one of Asia’s oldest trans-Himalayan arteries, shaping not just commerce but culture, diplomacy, and identity. Though interrupted in the 20th century, it is poised for a revival in the 21st—especially with renewed Chinese interest and Nepal’s strategic location as a bridge between South and Central Asia. The trade route was—and still can be—integral to both Tibet and Nepal, economically, culturally, and historically.

Saturday, June 05, 2021

राजेन्द्र महतो ले भनेको विविधता तिब्बत को हकमा पनि लागु हुन्छ

चीनको आतंरिक मामिला चीनको आतंरिक मामिला होला। तर कर्णाली को गरीबी त चीन को आतंरिक मामिला होइन। ५०० वर्ष अगाडि समृद्ध कर्णाली। अहिले त कल्पना गर्न पनि गारहो। अहिले पाल्पा त्यति समृद्ध छैन जति समृद्ध ५०० वर्ष अगाडि कर्णाली थियो। गरीव कसरी भयो? चीनले बोर्डर बंद गरदिएर। नेपाल भारत बोर्डर सील गरिदिने हो भने (बामदेव ले चाहेको कुरा) मधेसको साँस बंद हुन्छ। कर्णाली को साँस बंद भएको छ।

नेपाल भारत बोर्डर जस्तै हिमाल तिब्बत बोर्डर पनि साबिक झैँ खुला हुनुपर्छ।

राजेन्द्र महतो ले भनेको विविधता

The Straw Man of Tibet-Xinjiang Equivalence: A Response the experience of ordinary Tibetans, who are routinely deprived of their freedom of expression, movement, religion and assembly. .......... Freedom House has ranked Tibet as one of the least free places in its 2021 “Freedom in the World” report, assigning it a combined score of 1 out of a possible 100 for civil liberties and human rights –– by comparison, Syria scored 1/100 and North Korea scored 3/100 ......... Chen Quanguo, the architect of the Uyghur internment camps, was deploying against the Uyghurs the tools of tyranny he had sharpened in Tibet ......... Tibet served as a laboratory of repression for Chen’s dystopian vision ........ In the voluminous literature on the strategy of conflict, coercion is said to operate when the threat of retaliation plays a role in getting someone to do something against their will. The direct use of brute force is not necessary for coercion to obtain; the threat of punishment often lurks in the shadows without ever appearing onstage. ...........
in the highly repressive climate of Tibet, the line between choice and coercion is extremely blurry
..... Photos of the Dalai Lama have long been banned in monasteries and homes, but now Chinese authorities are seeking to expunge him altogether from Tibetan Buddhism, which goes far beyond merely “insulting the Dalai Lama.” (To understand what Tibetan Buddhism without the Dalai Lama might actually mean, imagine the Catholic Church without the Pope.) ........... Whereas once the monastery used to be a liminal space relatively impervious to the state, now it is a panopticon filled with surveillance cameras watching the monastics at all times. Instead of spending their day studying the scriptures, monks and nuns are forced to attend political indoctrination programs and immerse themselves in Xi Jinping thought, which can hardly be called a “popular adaptation” of what the Buddha taught. .......... Even more pernicious than Beijing’s attack on Buddhism is its assault on the Tibetan language, a campaign that bears all the hallmarks of a multigenerational project to render a language dead and thus eliminate a people’s identity. ........... What Beijing calls “bilingual education” is more accurately described by the International Tibet Network as a “cradle to grave” education system, where “new methods of 'controlling minds' have been imposed from an early age, with Tibetan toddlers increasingly being subjected to ideological education in hundreds of new and expanded kindergartens across Tibet.” ........ A Tibetan toddler, after attending the “bilingual kindergarten” for a couple of months, came home one day speaking only in Chinese. Her parents were horrified when they realized that their daughter could no longer communicate with her grandparents, who spoke only Tibetan. ........... if children inherit genes from their parents, they inherit culture from their grandparents ........ the vast and growing network of state-led “bilingual kindergartens,” which permanently damage the children’s relationship with their grandparents, are clearly designed to stem the intergenerational transmission of culture and fundamentally reconfigure Tibetan identity. ....... Tibet remains an information black hole. Even North Korea, the hermetically sealed nation, has allowed the Associated Press and the Agence France-Press to establish bureaus on the ground, but
there is not a single foreign reporter in Tibet
. .......... Beijing uses big-data technology of surveillance and state-of-the-art infrastructure of repression –– including the “convenience police stations” and the “double-linked households system,” innovated by Chen Quanguo during his tenure in Tibet –– to keep Tibetans, much like Uyghurs, in a general state of fear. ........ Calling its ethnic unity education “an engineering project of the soul,” Xi Jinping’s China aims for nothing less than to “transform ethnic cultures and identities” as a permanent solution to what it views as the two biggest challenges to its cultural unity and political stability: Tibet and Xinjiang. ......... To conclude, imagine a detective who, after failing to find a gun or a knife in the house of an abusive husband, decides that his battered wife calling for help has no reason to fear for her life. When, in fact, any number of items in the house can be retooled into a deadly weapon. ........... as China wages its multifaceted campaign to displace Tibetan language, erase Tibetan Buddhism, and relocate the nomads from the grasslands into the ghettos, Tibetans get the unmistakable feeling that their culture is undergoing death by a thousand cuts. There is no single policy that destroys a people, no single bullet that kills a culture. It is the totality of state policies and strategies whose interaction creates a complex process that ultimately chokes a culture and lowers it into its coffin, not overnight but over time.

Friday, December 25, 2015

"Nepal Should Not Become 'Boxing Arena' For India, China"

Nepal should not become 'boxing arena' for India, China: Wang Yi

China today said Nepal should not become a "boxing arena" between India and China vying for influence in the Himalayan nation even as it called on New Delhi to treat Kathmandu as an equal partner..... "A stable Nepal enjoying development fully serves the interests of both China and India. So in other words I would like to say that

Nepal is a great place for mutually beneficial cooperation between China and India, not a boxing arena for China and India," he said.
..... "China, India and Nepal are close neighbours connected by the same mountains and rivers. This makes three of us a natural community of shared interest. This is why China has proposed the development of a China-India-Nepal Economic Corridor. It is all about common development and prosperity. Ultimate goal is to form community of shared future of the three of us," he said. .....
Both Wang and Thapa avoided any references to the Madhesi agitation while praising the new Constitution which has led to a major internal political crisis in Nepal.
...... On India-Nepal relations, Thapa said "immediately after the promulgation of the constitution there has been some misunderstanding between Nepal and India. Because of the India imposed unofficial obstruction on transit and supply of fuel and other essential commodities," he said referring to the transport blockade that Nepal alleged had been imposed by India but which has been strongly refuted by New Delhi. ...... "That caused a severe impact on the Nepalese society. It also had a negative impact on our economic growth. But I am very happy to say at this point of time that things are moving and improving," said Thapa who is also Deputy Prime Minister....... Referring to his two visits to India recently, he said "it seems that we are now able to clear the air of mistrust and misunderstanding and slowly things are moving and coming back to normal"...... Thapa also said besides agreeing to open new border points, China is willing to consider Nepal's request for long term supply of petroleum products through Tibet at concessional rates due to high altitude transportation and taxation costs...... He thanked China for supplying 1,000 MT of petroleum products at the height of the Madhesi agitation. ....... Thapa said the treaty would enable Nepalese to access travel and goods from other countries through Chinese ports and a joint working group will identify the transit points. .....
Thapa also assured that Nepal will continue to crackdown on Tibetans crossing from Tibet to Dharmasala to meet Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama....... "We have consistently followed the one-China policy. I would like to reiterate once again that Nepal will not allow any activities that infringe on China's sensitivities on Tibet," he said.
....... The Indian media at the event was not given an opportunity to ask questions..... "Similarly with China we have so many common areas socially, culturally also we are bound together.
The peace harmony, compassion, philosophy propounded by Lord Buddha has alway remained as a cementing factor in our relations.
..... "For Nepal there is no need to play each other. We have our own type of relations with India. Similarly we have special relations with China. So we are very happy with that and will continue in future with strengthening relations with both the countries.
That is the density that we have to live with," Thapa said.

Wednesday, November 04, 2015

नेपाल: दुई विश्व शक्ति बीचको पुल

पृथ्वी नारायण शाह ले दुई ढुंगा बीचको तरुल भने। गोर्खे बाबुराम भट्टराई ले दुई विश्व शक्ति बीचको पुल। मलाई मन पर्यो। भारत र चीन जुधाइ दिने सपना बाँड्ने अहिलेका सत्ताधारी त्यो कुरा आफैले पत्याउदैनन्, जनता झुक्याउने कुरा मात्र हो त्यो।

चीन अर्को अमेरिका हो, भारत अर्को चीन। दुनिया का सबै भन्दा ठुला तीन अर्थतंत्र मध्ये दुई हमरा परोसी छन। त्यस कुराको फाइदा लिने हो। भारत र चीन ले पनि चाहेको त्यही हो। नेपाल ले सकेसम्म चाडो आर्थिक प्रगति गरोस् -- भारत र चीन दुबैले चाहेको त्यही हो।

भारत र चीन ले चाहेर के भो! नेपाल को नेतृत्व ले पनि चाहनु पर्यो।

Sunday, September 20, 2015

यता प्रतिगामी संविधान बन्नु, उता चीनले झापामा ३ खर्ब को फैक्ट्री बसाल्ने निर्णय गर्नु

Nepal Needs A Constitution

भारत र अमेरिका ले भित्र सम्म पसेर बुझ्नु पर्ने छ यहाँ। समाधान: आश्विन संग्राम।

Democracy's Contemporary Challenge

जयशंकर
मिनेन्द्र, तिमी राजपक्ष होइनौ

Friday, September 04, 2015

तिब्बत, ब्रम्हपुत्र, नेपाल र भारत

ब्रम्हपुत्र नदी तिब्बत मा शुरू हुन्छ। त्यहाँ तिब्बत ले ठुलो बाँध बाँधने हो भने भारत र बांग्लादेश मा मर्का पर्छ। अनि चीन ले त्यो कुराको ख्याल राख्छ, राख्नु पनि पर्छ। हामी सार्वभौमसत्ता संपन्न देश, हाम्रो "राष्ट्रियता," "र" त्यस्तो केही भन्दैन, जब कि चीन विश्व शक्ति हो, अमेरिका लाई चैलेंज गर्ने एक मात्र शक्ति आज, उसको शक्ति बढ्दो छ। ब्रम्हपुत्र नदी तिब्बत मा शुरू हुन्छ, सही हो, तर त्यो नदी चीन, भारत, बांग्लादेश को साझा नदी हो। त्यो चीन ले मान्छ। दुनिया ले मानने कुरा हो। स्विट्ज़रलैंड ले मान्छ। दुनिया मान्छ।

तर त्यो कुरा नेपालमा नमानेको देखिन्छ। नेपाल बाट बगेर भारत पुग्ने नदी साझा नदी भयो। भारत लाई मर्का पर्ने गरी बाँध हरु बाँध्न मिल्दैन। खानेपानी कै कुरा छ। जल विकास को सोंच देश स्तर मा मात्र गर्न सकिँदैन, दक्षिण एशिया स्तर मा गर्नु पर्ने हुन्छ। सबै को हित हुने, सबै लाई फाइदा हुने गरी गर्न सकिन्छ। बिजुली पनि निकाल्न सकिन्छ। सिंचाई का लागि पनि पानी छ। नेपाल लाई पनि छ, भारत लाई पनि छ। ब्रम्हपुत्र चीन को मात्र होइन। त्यो कुरा विश्व शक्ति चीन ले मान्छ। कोशी, गण्डकी, कर्णाली नेपाल को मात्र होइन, भारत को पनि हो। यो कुरा नमान्नु राष्ट्रियता होइन, मुर्खता हो। देश भित्र आफुले गरेको माफियातंत्र र कमिशनतंत्र र महाभ्रष्टाचार लाई ढाकछोप गर्न, जनता को ध्यान डाइवर्ट गर्न बामे जस्ता ले अंतरराष्ट्रीय मान्यता विरुद्ध बोल्दिने गरेका छन। यो हाम्रो मात्र नदी हो, भारत ले आफ्नो पनि जस्तो किन गरेको? एक शब्द: ब्रम्हपुत्र।

नेपाल को ५०% भूभाग वन जंगल हुनुपर्छ। त्यस किसिमले व्यापक वृक्षारोपण गर्नु पर्छ। त्यो नेपाल को हित मा पनि छ, दक्षिण एशिया को हित मा पनि छ। दक्षिण एशिया मा खानेपानी को कुरा मा दक्षिण एशिया स्तर मा सोँच्नु पर्ने हुन्छ। खुला छलफल हुनुपर्छ। जनता लेवल मा हुनुपर्छ। नेता लेवल मा हुनुपर्छ।

Dam on Brahmaputra : Consequence and Reality Check

I have been reading about Chinese dams in Brahmaputra in Indian newspapers. As a

typical lower riparian alarmist
, most of the reports also add that China is planning to divert some of its water towards Eastern region, in addition to generation of 40,000 MW of electricity. ........ The Brahmaputra river follows an odd channel to flow to the sea. It flows towards east for almost half of its length in mountainous Tibet and then takes a U-turn to enter plains in Assam. Ultimately, it enters Bangladesh towards South and meets the Ganges before reaching the sea. ........ The place where it takes a U-turn, is known as Great Bend of Yarlung Tsangpo/Brahmaputra. At the same place, the river forms the deepest canyon of the world (Grand Canyon??). Only in 1998, a 30 mt waterfall was discovered nearby and since then China is planning to build a huge hydroelectric dam having an installed capacity of 40,000 MW. .......... The media reports also claim that there are proposals in China to divert some of rivers water too through the same dam to Eastern region. The author also claimed that China is planning to divert 40 BCM of water out of
71.5 BCM carried by Brahmaputra each year. One must remember that the water calculation is based on what it carries from Tibet to India. The same river has a runoff of an average of 550 BCM of water when it reaches Bangladesh.
Where from this additional flow comes? There are two answers – the first is the Monsoon waters and the other is the water carried by the tributaries. The monsoon flow of Brahmaputra is almost 10 times that of its dry season flow .......... hydro-power generation. This does not change anything for India. Hydro-power generation is non-consumptive usage of water and should end up increasing the dry season flow by 10-20% – which should be good for irrigation usage in Assam and Bangladesh. The success of this plan depends on how the irrigation planning is done. I am hopeful that China will also sell some of the electricity to India since it may be a cheaper option for them. ......... There are basically three different ways to implement the project. The first is to build hydro-dam only. The second is to divert water only during monsoon. The third is to divert a constant volume of water throughout the year. ...... The first sounds feasible and I have already discussed it. The second should also cause no harm to India. It is understandable that during Monsoon, it’s the excess water that causes the problem as it floods vast area in India and Bangladesh. It’s good for China as well since it is diverting the water to an area that does not get rainwater at the same time of the year. It will get water for 3-6 months when India or Bangladesh does not need it. ......... The third one could potentially have dire consequences for both India and Bangladesh. It could be completed as the second phase of Chinese plan to interlink their rivers .......... For India, the North-East is both food-surplus and water-surplus. After the diversion starts, the dry season flow could diminish by 20-30%. .... India is already taking 50% of Ganges water in the East. If Brahmaputra (Jamuna in Bangladesh) is compromised, it would virtually be a dry Bangladesh in lean season. A lot of alarmist authors also mentioned reduction in Hydro-power potential of North-East India due to Chinese diversion. I do not agree to them. First reason is most of planned hydro-power potential is actually in Brahmaputra tributaries. The lack in dry season flow would only block any “run-of-the-river” projects, but not anyone with a plan of reservoirs. ......... There are ways to cushion against the third problem as well. If Indians build reservoirs in Arunachal to hold the excess monsoon water, the condition should not be that bad. However, the loss of vast forest area and displacement of tribals from their land is regretted. ...... One thing to keep in mind that if India can not show any meaningful use of Brahmaputra waters, China has a right to divert them. This is why the first two plans has to be accepted by India even if it harms India.
India does not “use” monsoon water, neither does it use the gradient of the Great Bend.
The International law (though neither India nor China signed it) indicates the existing use as a parameter for equitable water sharing. China has already built a dam (photo) on Indus tributary. The first Chinese dam on Tsangpo is also coming up. ........ The rivers crossed includes
Salween, Mekong and Yangtze – three of the largest in Asia.
In the first phase, the plan is to build a connector between Yangtze and Yellow river as a part of Western routes. ...... It is logical to believe that China cannot divert water from Yarlong (Brahmaputra) before it does so from Salween and Mekong. ....... because taking water from those rivers involves much less effort than what it takes to move Brahamaputra water ..... So far, China has built three dams on Mekong, two are under construction and there are four more to come ..... However, there are no plans to divert Mekong water yet. Once it starts diversion of Mekong, a series of political conflict is expected – especially with ASEAN states – something that China could hardly afford. This could potentially delay the plan to add further water in the channel. Therefore, in my opinion, even if China diverts Brahmaputra, it won’t be soon. Literally, there is no such possibility in next 30 years in my opinion. By that time, energy-hungry India should “tame” the Brahmaputra and have sufficient control over it. ....... I can’t term the projected dire consequences of the diversion plan anything other than a mere Conspiracy theory at this point of time.
The importance that Indian media attaching to it – proves that lower riparian alarmist nature is Universal.
The last thing I want is a political conflict over water. India needs good relationship with China.
Alarmist media should do a reality check before they push forward their agenda to inject fear in common Indians.

Wednesday, September 02, 2015

म क्रिस्चियन/मुसलमान होइन, म समाजवादी होइन

बाबुराम भट्टराई मेरो लागि मुसलमान भने पनि भो, क्रिस्चियन भने पनि भो। फरक राजनीतिक धर्म को मान्छे। २००५ को गर्मी मा म जब न्यु यॉर्क शहर आएँ, त्यति बेला दुनियामा नेपालका माओवादी को यथार्थपरक इमेज नै के थियो भन्दा शीत युद्ध पछि को दुनिया कै नंबर एक अल्ट्रा लेफ्ट समुह। राजनीतिक अल काईदा। कहाँ नेपाल शांग्रीला/हिप्पी को देश। कहाँ माओवादी। बरफ र आगो एउटै चित्रमा। नेपाल बाहिर चाहिँ पाइला नटेकेको भनौं भने दक्षिण एशिया मा फैलिन चाहेको आशंका, र दक्षिण एशिया स्तर मा संगठन भए नभए को स्पष्ट नभए पनि भारत का सशस्त्र माओवादी लाई प्रशस्त inspire गरेको तथ्य। अमेरिका ले अहिले अल काईदा/ISIS बारे जे भन्छ त्यति बेला नेपालका माओवादी बारे त्यही भन्थ्यो। भौतिक रुपले सिध्याउनु पर्छ। अर्को औषधि छैन। र त्यसलाई पुर्ण रुपले सैद्धांतिक रुपले हेर्नु हुँदैन। अमेरिका ले अरु देश लाई मिलिटरी ऐड दिँदा कति अमेरिकी कंपनी हरु लाई फाइदा भइराखेको हुन्छ। कमाइ हुन्छ। Follow the money.

अमेरिका को लाइन गलत थियो। विशेष गरी ज्ञानेन्द्र को कु पछि त अझ माओवादी "समस्या" को राजनीतिक समाधान मात्र संभव थियो। कमती गार्हो थिएन त्यो समीकरण। १० वर्ष मा हामी यहाँ आइपुगेका छौं। राजा नमारी नसमाती गणतंत्र ल्याउने देश इतिहासमा कति छन?

म समाजवादी होइन। वास्तव मैं होइन। भित्री ह्रदय बाट नै होइन। स्वेच्छा ले नै होइन। म हिन्दु/बुद्धिस्ट, बाबुराम भट्टराई क्रिस्चियन/मुसलमान। तर मैले मेरो धर्म ले भन्छ भनेर राम्रो व्यवहार गरेको हुन सक्छु। बाबुराम को धर्म ले पनि उसलाई राम्रो व्यवहार नै गर्न लगाउँछ भने मलाई त्यो धर्म समस्या हुने कुरा भएन। भन्दैमा म क्रिस्चियन/मुसलमान हुनु पर्दैन। र धर्म प्रदत राम्रो व्यवहार भनेको गरीब का लागि शिक्षा, स्वास्थ्य, रोजगार को कुरा हो। मेरो राजनीतिक धर्म ले पनि सबै को, गरीब को पनि जीवनस्तर उकास्ने सोंचछ। धनी को मात्र होइन, गरीब को मात्र होइन। र त्यहाँ कुनै clash छैन। दुबै लाई सँगै माथि लानुपर्ने हुन्छ नत्र ती दुई मध्ये एक लाई पनि माथि लान सकिँदैन। र एउटा स्वच्छ लोकतंत्र/अर्थतंत्र मा जो सुकै धनी बन्न सक्छ। जन्मले मात्र धनी हुने रूढ़िवादी समाज हो।

नेपाल राजनीतिक रुपले एक किसिम ले अचम्म छ। जो पनि समाजवादी। काँग्रेस पनि (घोषणा मा) समाजवादी, एमाले (कागजमा) समाजवादी, फोरम समाजवादी, हृदयेश समाजवादी, माओवादी समाजवादी। सत्ताधारी पनि समाजवादी, विपक्षी पनि समाजवादी। यस्तो पनि हुन्छ? हाँडी गाउँ को जात्रा।

म क्रिस्चियन/मुसलमान होइन, म समाजवादी होइन।

बाबुराम भट्टराई का लागि कम्युनिस्ट मेनिफेस्टो जे होला मेरो लागि Universal Declaration Of Human Rights त्यही हो।मेरो राजनीतिक ज्यामिति को विन्दु र रेखा त्यो छोटो दस्तावेज हो। बहुदल त्यस बाट उब्जिने कुरा हो, लोकतंत्र त्यस बाट उब्जिने कुरा हो। त्यस दस्तावेज को ॐ चाहिं फ्री स्पीच हो। सीके राउत ले सेन राजा सेन राजा भन्छ। उसले भन्नु अगाडि मलाई थाहा पनि थिएन।

मानव अधिकार र लोकतंत्र को परिधि भित्र तर म जस्तो को र बाबुराम भट्टराई जस्तो को धेरै कुरा मिल्न सक्छ। म अमेरिकी राजनीति र अर्थतंत्र लाई face value मा लिंदीन। नियमित आलोचना गर्छु। America's original mission - a total spread of democracy - is in a direct clash with America's original sin - race भन्छु।

कति हुन्छन् theory का कुरा कति व्यावहारिक कुरा। Science theory भो, engineering त्यसको application. कर्मक्षेत्र मा बाबुराम भट्टराई नेपालमा फुल टाइम राजनीति गरिरहेको मान्छे, एक पटक प्रधान मंत्री भइसकेको र फेरि हुन सक्ने मान्छे। म कहिले चुनाव नलडने मान्छे। म मेरो टेक कंपनी बिल्ड गर्न चाहेको मान्छे। तर राजनीति मा गहिरो interest भएको मान्छे। उही हो, आफु हुर्केको घरमा आगो लाग्दा टाढा बाट पानी फालेको चाहिं हो। तर टाढा भन्न मिल्दैन। यो डिजिटल माध्यम ले को टाढा को नजिक! म अमेरिका आउनु अगाडि पार्टी मा हृदयेश महासचिव, म र सरिता उपमहासचिव, राजेन्द्रजी केंद्रीय समिति सदस्य, रामेश्वर राय यादव अध्यक्ष, त्यति बेला समोसा मा आलु र बिहार मा लालु थिए, हृदयेश लाई एउटा यादव चाहिएको, बॉर्डर यता पनि लहर आइहाल्छ कि भन्ने थियो। म पत्रकार मान्छे होइन। मैले गरेको डिजिटल activism हो। नेपाल को शांति प्रक्रिया मा कुनै सभासद अथवा शीर्ष नेता नै भन्दा कम मैले गरे जस्तो लाग्या छैन। तर म "फर्किने" मान्छे होइन। There is no going backward, there is only going forward. नेपालको आर्थिक क्रांति मा मेरो कंपनी योगदान दिन चाहन्छ। तर न्यु यॉर्क त मेरो होमटाउन हो। म भारत र नेपाल माँ फिँजिन चाहेको चाहिँ हो। बिहार भो। मेरे दिल में बिहार और नेपाल बराबर है।

मदन भंडारी को तथाकथित बहुदलीय जनवाद को पुस्तिका त्यति बेला नै पढेको। खासै घत लागेन। कम्निष्ट ले बहुदल मानने भनेको न हो -- त्योंभन्दा बढ़ी के हो? बरु बाबुराम भट्टराई ले आफ्नै धर्म मा केही नया सोंच ल्याउन सक्ने संभावना देख्छु। उसको धर्म को पनि मेरो धर्म को पनि मान्छे ले The Scientific Method चाहिं मान्नै पर्छ। म मान्छु। बाबुराम भट्टराई ले मानेको देखेको छु। तर मेरै धर्म मा त्यो नमान्ने dogmatic मानिस प्रशस्त छन। बाबुराम को धर्म मा पनि होलान।

म नेपालको भारत सँग को राजनीतिक र आर्थिक एकीकरण मा र चीन मा पॉलिटकल रिफार्म को मुद्दा मा बाबुराम सँग सहकार्य खोजेको मान्छे। स्पष्ट कुरा। मोही माग्ने ढुङ्ग्रो देखाउने। नेपालको माओवादी समस्या समाप्त भयो मोटामोटी। नेपाललाई १ मत को ५० रुपया को बाटो लाने र प्रत्यक्ष निर्वाचित प्रधान मंत्री को बाटो लाने हो भने र भारत सँग negotiate गर्दा भारत ले पनि १ मत को ५० रुपया मान्नु पर्ने भन्ने हो भने अनि भारत को पनि माओवादी "समस्या" समाप्त हुन्छ।

बाबुरामले खोजेको नया धार
१ मत को ५० रुपया
प्रत्यक्ष निर्वाचित प्रधान मंत्री र १०% आर्थिक वृद्धि दर
भारतका २४० ट्रिलियन डॉलर वाला अर्थतंत्र बनने का फोर्मुला इजराइल के पास है

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