Thursday, November 24, 2005

Ways To Cut The Gordian Knot

'If then such praise the Macedonian got
For having rudely cut the Gordian Knot'
Waller the King

Just take a look at it, it even looks like it symbolizes the triangular conflict in Nepal. There are three protrusions to the Gordian Knot.

Gordian Knot - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

What are the options? How could the House revival stance be ditched so the country can move forward?

(1) Girija sees the light. He finally comes around to seeing the folly of this stand. He changes his mind on his own. He has his moment. It comes to him in a flash.

(2) Girija is made to see the light in one on one conversations by the people around him.

(3) The Nepali Congress holds a meeting of its central committee. That meeting holds a comprehensive discussion on the issue and by majority vote decides to ditch the House revival stance. Girija has no choice to counter the decision, just like he had no choice not to ditch the constitutional monarchy reference during the Nepali Congress convention. The party decided against his will. He was forced to come around to it. The party could similarly force him on this issue as well. Otherwise the Nepali Congress has been shrinking on a daily basis. At the current rate it is going to end up the third or the fourth largest party in Nepal, behind the UML, the Maoists, and the Deuba Congress. The idiotic House revival stance is going to cost the party dear.

(4) The seven party alliance holds a meeting to revise its four point agenda, decide on a government in waiting, set up joint committees in all 75 districts, to chalk out the decisive joint protest program, and to chalk out a detailed action plan all the way to a new constitution for the country. Girija is outvoted on the issue, 6-1. And thus finally the four point agenda becomes a three point agenda. The meeting designates Girija Koirala the Supreme Commander and inspirational leader of the movement, Madhav Nepal the prime minister in waiting, and Ram Chandra Poudel the deputy prime minister in waiting. The other five parties are to get a berth each, and the three largest, the UML, the Koirala Congress, and the Deuba Congress, are to get an additional berth each.

(5) The Maoists initiate a dialogue with Tulsi Giri. The Maoists and the Monarchists agree to hold talks, and they subsequently decide to invite the seven parties to the same. Thus takes shape the roundtable conference. The king is made to remind his promise right after 2/1 that he is willing to go for a constituent assembly. All three forces decide on an interim government. The House issue just never comes up in the discussions. Under UN supervision part of the Maoist army is integrated into the state army, the rest are rehabilitated. The US and the EU come up with a $5 million package to retrain most of the Maoist fighters so they can enter the private sector of the economy. With only one standing army left, the country goes towards a constituent assembly.

(6) The same as (5) except that the king bargains that a ceremonial monarchy should be guaranteed, and the constituent assembly may decide on the rest of the issues.

(7) The Nepali Congress gets kicked out of the seven party coalition which becomes a six party coalition. It adopts a three point agenda. A concrete action plan is chalked out. The Nepali Congress cadres join the movement in large numbers. The Nepali Congress leadership gets isolated. The party becomes extinct. The Deuba Congress and the Sadbhavana absorb most of the cadres of the Koirala Congress.

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Is The King For A Constituent Assembly?

I think yes, because he said as much right after 2/1.

But people like Tanka Dhakal and Satchit B.S. Shamsher Rana (This Movement Also Against Rana Rule: Satchit Is So Much B.S.) and others in that little clique will tell you otherwise. It is because as soon as this regime comes down, these people are history. They lose their berths in the cabinet, they get kicked out of the ministerial residences, they no longer get invitations to talk programs where they are used to waxing eloquent, they disappear from the limelight permanently.

They know that.

So of course these minions would want to prolong the current regime for as long as possible.

I am not saying the king is above the fray. He is the architect of 2/1, and the leader of the current regime. But tactically speaking you have to draw a distinction between the king and his minions.

Girija's crime is to think House revival should be the meeting point for the three forces.

The solution is that the constituent assembly is the meeting point.

If the king were not for a constituent assembly, I would not see why the Maoists would want to talk to Tulsi Giri. But because the king is for such an assembly, it makes no sense for the Maoists to not initiate dialogue with Giri. You asked for a roundtable conference, now take it.

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